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1.
陈中放  毛法根 《科技通报》1997,13(4):275-280
从多种期货价位涨跌的记录中发现,期货价位随时间变化有三种混沌周期。一种是以5 ̄30min为一周期的价位涨跌混沌波;第二种是以0.5 ̄1.5天为一周期的每日极端价位涨跌混沌波;3 ̄7个每日极端价位涨跌混沌波构成一个涨跌的基本单元,称为大势涨跌混沌波;第三种是以大势涨跌混沌波为单元构成的13 ̄25天的期货混沌走势波。这三种混沌运动组成了整个期货的混沌运动。共同组成期货价位随时间涨跌的宏观运动。发现期货  相似文献   

2.
从多种期货价位涨跌的记录中发现,期货价位随时间变化有三种混沌周期.一种是以5~30min为一周期的价位涨跌混沌波;第二种是以0.5~1.5天为一周期的每日极端价位涨跌混沌波;3~7个每日极端价位涨跌混沌波构成一个涨跌的基本单元,称为大势涨跌混沌波;第三种是以大势涨跌混沌波为单元构成的13~25天的期货混沌走势波.这三种混沌运动组成了整个期货的混沌运动.共同组成期货价位随时间涨跌的宏观运动.发现期货涨跌混沌运动的意义在于:以三到七波为一单元,可以判断每天价位涨跌的走势,预测次日的涨跌趋势,预测5~15天的行情走势.期货的奇次方混沌理论是可以应用到实际期货操作的  相似文献   

3.
强迫Duffing—Van der Pol振子的混沌行为   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
用Melnikov-Holmes方法对如下强迫Duffing-Van der Pol振子进行了分析:给出其同宿轨道的Melnikov函数及系统产生混沌的阈值.通过数值计算,运用运动轨线的直接观察,相图分析和FFT功率谱分析方法,考察系统的周期和混沌行为.并着重研究了反馈周期驱动对系统混沌行为的影响.在小参数范围内,数值结果与理论结果符合较好.本文的研究结果将为解决非线性系统的噪声干扰问题以及获得在统计分析和Monte Carlo方法中极为有用的具有给定分布的随机信号等提供途径.  相似文献   

4.
本文以b作为分支参数,利用分岔图、最大李雅谱诺夫指数图、像图及功率谱图,研究Duffing映射的动力学性质,发现一条反倍周期分岔通往混沌的道路。结合最大李雅谱诺夫指数图,观察到在混沌区域中包含周期5、6等窗口,拟周期运动,同时利用像图及功率谱图进一步确定周期解、拟周期运动及混沌现象,展现了Duffing映射的复杂动态,有助于进一步了解Duffing映射的丰富动力学性质。  相似文献   

5.
文件信息运动是指在人类实践活动需求和人的意愿需求的驱动下,文件信息发生位移或文件信息的量态与质态发生的一切变化过程。根据文件信息需求主体的变化以及文件信息量态与质态的变化情况,将文件信息运动分为文件信息源形成期、文件信息运动靶向期和文件信息运动混沌期三个阶段。这一运动阶段划分对进一步弄清文件与档案的关系,对圆满解决档案问题、充分解释档案现象提供了理论依据。  相似文献   

6.
一类广告竞争模型的延迟反馈混沌控制方法   总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3  
李煜  盛昭瀚  姚洪兴 《预测》2003,22(1):64-67
运用延迟反馈混沌控制方法来稳定由企业的广告竞争行为引起的市场混沌更为贴近经济系统的实际,这是因为它体现了竞争主体所采取的控制措施是基于某些市场信号而做出的理性选择。在本文中,我们以一个双寡头垄断广告竞争模型为例,将其控制到各种低周期轨道并成功地实现了系统在混沌态与各种周期轨道间的转换,对市场上企业广告竞争行为的策略选择有重要的启示意义。  相似文献   

7.
混沌是一种非周期性的动力学过程,混沌是研究无序中的有序。一些杂乱无章,表面看似无序的现象,其实却隐藏着丰富多彩的内涵和一定的规律性。混沌是由确定性的规律生成,它是一种对初始条件非常敏感并有依赖性和回复性的非周期运动。  相似文献   

8.
文章分析了具有混沌动力学特征的非线性三阶自治电路,给出了混沌电路中非线性电阻的构造方法,使用EWB软件对混沌电路进行了计算机仿真,通过实际硬件电路板测试得到混沌吸引子、倍周期分岔、周期性窗口等预期分析结果,此结果对深入研究混沌理论及混沌的同步和控制有积极借鉴作用.  相似文献   

9.
本文提出了一种基于变量与周期信号耦合的弱周期微扰法控制双环掺铒光纤激光器混沌的具体方案。数值模拟结果表明,通过适当调节反馈强度,该方法可实现对双环掺铒光纤激光器混沌和超混沌的控制。  相似文献   

10.
Jerk电路是三阶自治系统,对系统方程的变换得到三维非线性方程组转化成可控标准型,并分析了其复杂动力学特性。证明该系统含混沌吸引子以及Jerk电路自身的混沌性,同时为了消除Jerk电路的混沌现象,克服其对系统工作状况的不利影响以及反馈控制理论中永远不能精确达到目标轨道的缺点,利用滑模变结构法,将Jerk电路系统从混沌轨道控制到任意周期轨道,MATLAB模拟验证了其有效性。结果证明滑模变结构法能够使系统严格地跟踪参考轨道,实现Jerk电路混沌控制的同时也为相关电力电子系统混沌态的有效控制提供了借鉴。  相似文献   

11.
Aresearch group led by Prof. ZHAI Qiwei from the Institute for Nutritional Sciences under the CAS Shanghai Institutes for Biological Sciences has discovered that even relatively low doses of resveratrol--a chemical found in the skins of red grapes and in red wine--can improve the sensitivity of mice to the hormone insulin, according to a report in the October,2007 issue of Cell Metabolism. As insulin resistance is often characterized as the most critical factor contributing to the development of Type 2 diabetes, the findings“provide a potential new therapeutic approach for preventing or treating” both conditions, the researchers said.  相似文献   

12.
This study examined how students who had no prior experience with videoconferencing would react to the use of videoconferencing as an instructional medium. Students enrolled in seven different courses completed a questionnaire at the beginning of the semester and again at the end of the semester. Students at the origination and remote sites did not differ in their reactions toward videoconferencing but there was a significant difference for gender. Women reacted less favorably to videoconferencing. Compared to the beginning of the semester, students reported significantly less positive attitudes toward taking a course through videoconferencing at the end of the semester. There were no significant differences in students' attitudes toward videoconferencing across courses at the beginning of the semester but there were significant differences across the courses at the end of the semester. The results suggest the need for better preparation for both students and instructors.  相似文献   

13.
Active biological molecules and functional structures can be fabricated into a bio-mimetic system by using molecular assembly method. Such materials can be used for the drug delivery, disease diagnosis and therapy, and new nanodevice construction.  相似文献   

14.
Ajoint study by Prof. ZHANG Zhibin from the CAS Institute of Zoology and his co-workers from Norway, US and Swiss have indicated that historical outbreaks of migratory locusts in China were associated with cold spells, suggesting that China's projected climate warming could decrease the pest's numbers. The study was published in Proceedings of theNational Academy of Sciences on 17 September, 2007.  相似文献   

15.
CAS should stick to the principle of rendering service to, and giving impetus for, the development of China's science enterprise by making S&T innovations, said CAS President LU Yongxiang. The CAS president made the remarks in a recent talk to communicate the gist of the winter session of the Party's Leading-member Group at CAS, which was held from 7 to 11 January in Beijing.  相似文献   

16.
A computer-mediated group is a complex entity whose members exchange many types of information via multiple means of communication in pursuit of goals specific to their environment. Over time, they coordinate technical features of media with locally enacted use to achieve a viable working arrangement. To explore this complex interaction, a case study is presented of the social networks of interactions and media use among members of a class of computer-supported distance learners. Results show how group structures associated with project teams dominated who communicated with whom, about what, and via which media over the term, and how media came to occupy their own communication niches: Webboard for diffuse class-wide communication; Internet Relay Chat more to named others but still for general communication across the class; and e-mail primarily for intrateam communication. Face-to-face interaction, occurring only during a short on-campus session, appears to have had a catalytic effect on social and emotional exchanges. Results suggest the need to structure exchanges to balance class-wide sharing of ideas with subgroup interactions that facilitate project completion, and to provide media that support these two modes of interaction.  相似文献   

17.
With great care, Dr. ZHOU Zhonghe takes out a package wrapped by cotton tissue from a drawer and says: "This is the gem of our collections: the fossil of a bird that lived 125 million years ago!" Then, pointing at a tiny mound, he explains: "Look, this is the claw and that is the head. It was in the egg shell and ready to hatch ... The species fell into a family of waterside inhabitants."  相似文献   

18.
Electronic data interchange (EDI) provides means for interorganizational communication, creates network externalities, requires an advanced information technology (IT) infrastructure, and relies on standards. In the diffusion of such innovations, institutional involvement is imperative. Such institutions contain governmental agencies, national and global standardization organizations, local government, and nonprofit private organizations like industry associations. The last type of organizations we call intermediating institutions. They intermediate or coordinate ("inscribe") the activities of a group of would-be adopters. Unfortunately, little is known of how these organizations shape the EDI diffusion trajectory. In this article we examine one specific type of intermediating organizations?industry associations?and how they advanced the EDI diffusion process in the grocery sectors of Hong Kong, Denmark and Finland. We identify six institutional measures, placed into a matrix formed by the mode of involvement (influence vs. regulation) and the type of diffusion force (supply push vs. demand pull), that can be mobilized to further the EDI diffusion. Industry associations were found to be active users of all these measures to varying degrees. Their role was critical especially in knowledge building, knowledge deployment, and standard setting. Furthermore, institutional involvement varied due to policy and cultural contingencies and power dependencies.  相似文献   

19.
This essay focuses on universal service and the Internet as means to support social and political participation. The emphasis on access to telecommunications systems in conventional approaches to universal service is contrasted with access to content. A model of the information environment is described that accounts for the roles of content and conduit, both of which are necessary conditions to achieve true access. A method is outlined for employing information indicators to observe or measure the information environment.  相似文献   

20.
The increasing prospects of digital piracy has prompted the perceived need by electronic publishers to adopt technical systems of protection, and governments to reform their copyright laws. This article is a preliminary study of the management of intellectual property by electronic publishers, defined as those involved in the production of online databases, and CD-ROMs. It focuses on three main issues: (1) how electronic publishers view the increasing threat of piracy; (2) the methods of protection employed to protect intellectual property in digital format; and (3) the importance of technological protection of intellectual property in electronic publications. The analysis is based on a sample of 23 UK electronic publishers. The interviews revealed an interesting assortment of protection methods and did not show that technological protection was a preferred way. Instead, the means of protection, in addition to copyright law, comprised niche markets, pricing, trust, bad publicity, and nontechnical and technical means.  相似文献   

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