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在利率不断市场化的背景下,选取2005-2013年季度数据,运用Stata12、Excel软件,通过统计描述分析、多元回归法和虚拟变量回归等方法,从宏观角度研究影响我国商业银行不良贷款率的具体因素。实证结果表明,GDP增长率、资本充足率与商业银行不良贷款率负相关;美元汇率与商业银行不良贷款率正相关,人民币升值有利于银行降低不良贷款率;商业银行在2008年国际金融危机以来明显降低了不良贷款率。我国需要持续推动经济增长,发挥人民币升值的优势,商业银行要保持资本充足率的稳定,优化业务结构,预防信贷风险,拓展海外业务,提高我国商业银行在全球的影响力。 相似文献
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文章运用基于平均总资产回报率新视角下的DEA方法,对2014年我国商业银行效率的影响因素进行了分析。商业银行平均总资产回报率是投出产出比最好的验证工具,克服了传统DEA方法单纯对投入和产出变量的分析计算。在回归分析中,分别选取了商业银行资产总额、负债总额、净资产收益率、不良贷款率、净利润指标作为解释变量,以我国商业银行平均总资产回报率作为因变量建立效率模型。同时以2014年我国10家商业银行的数据作为样本进行实证分析,并最终得出银行规模是影响我国商业银行效率的最重要因素,最后有针对性的提出了促进我国商业银行效率提高的相关政策建议。 相似文献
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本文选取2008年1月至2016年3月的我国消费者价格指数(CPI)、工业增加值(GDP)、企业商品价格指数货币供应量(M2)、生产者物价指数(PPI)、商品零售价格指数(RPI)的月度数据,运用Johansen协整检验、Granger因果关系检验、向量自回归(VAR)模型、脉冲响应分析及方差分解等多种计量经济方法,对我国通货膨胀的影响因素进行了实证分析,结果表明:CPI与GDP、M2、PPI、RPI之间存在着长期稳定的均衡关系,CPI与M2之间存在着负相关关系,通货膨胀具有持久性,RPI是CPI的格兰杰原因。文章的最后提出了防范与治理我国通货膨胀的对策建议。 相似文献
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为了把握江苏省建筑业的发展轨迹, 提出了其增长预测的多元线性回归模型. 选择影响江苏省建筑业增长的5个因素, 即建筑业固定资产K、地区生产总值GDP、房地产增加值REAV、建筑业对外输出WS和建筑安装工程投资JA作为解释变量, 使用主成分分析解决其多重共线性问题. 再选定建筑业增加值lnCAV作为被解释变量, 建立江苏省建筑业增长模型, 并用1990~2008年的统计数据检验模型预测精度. 预测结果表明: 2009~2012年江苏建筑业增加值的平均增长率将为17.65%, 同期GDP的增长率为14.16%, 江苏省建筑业未来增速快于GDP增速. 建筑业产值占GDP比重持续上升, 其支柱地位将逐步加强. 相似文献
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吴月明 《合肥教育学院学报》2011,(3):75-79
居民消费价格指数(CPI)作为国民经济发展的一个宏观指标,对我国国民经济管理有着十分重要的意义。依据我国2010年的CPI的变动情况,分析了影响CPI的变动因素,指出CPI的变动对我国宏观经济的影响,并提出了相应的防治措施。 相似文献
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根据运用软件建立ARIMA(1,1,1)求和自回归移动模型,并分析广西消费价格指数(CPI)变化规律,为广西消费价格指数(CPI)提供较好的预测,对政府宏观政策的实施提供重要依据。 相似文献
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《海外英语》2007,(5):10-11
Many college freshmen arrive woefully unprepared to do college work, and as disadvantaged populations continue to grow, the share of the American work force that has made it through college is expected to plummet. Many experts blame that educational failure not just on high schools but also on colleges. School & College, a special report by The Chronicle, looks at efforts to fix the system. What reforms would better prepare students for college? What should schools and colleges be doing differently? How should state and federal officials help? 相似文献
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《海外英语》2007,(4):36
There are numbers of crossroads on our long and unpredictable life journey where we totally have no idea about which direction to choose. No matter what our decision is, we should not turn back, but face the music and go ahead instead. I am this kind of girl who always does try without regretting, one example is how I dealt with my love. 相似文献
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Migration occurs behind a variety of reasons and has a great effect on the whole world. People may migrate in order to improve their economic situation, or in order to escape civil strife, persecution, and environmental disasters. The impact of migration is complex, bringing both benefits anddisadvantages. This paper briefly talks about the causes of migration, the allocation of benefits, and the ways in which individual countries and the international community deal with this important subject. 相似文献
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Sister Carrie is one of the most controversial characters in American literature.Thought as a "fallen woman" firstly,she was defined as a "new woman" by some critics later. However, by digging into the motivaton behind the whole process of Carrie's "success", the relationship between Carrie and her creator (the author), the social conditions of then American, it can be found that Carrie has never been free-standing on her thought and she has never found her real-sdf even after becoming a famous actress. In a society dominated by mass consumerism Carrie is only an adherent of her own desires. She also is a representative of all those country girls flooded into cities, a symbol and a sacrifice of the urbanization of America in a time countryside was overcome by cities. 相似文献
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RUZBEHANI Mohsen 《重庆大学学报(英文版)》2004,3(1):20-25
1.IntroductionOne-cyclecontrolmethod,whichwasproposedaboutonedecadeago[1],hasbecomeanattractivemethodinspecialfieldssuchaspowerfactorcorrection[2-6],switchingamplifiers[7,8],etc.Themainideaofthiscontrollerisbasedonintegrationofdiodevoltageinone-cycleandforcesittobeexactlyequaltothereferencevalue.Themainadvantageofthiscontrollerisitsrealtimeabilitytorejectthevariationofinputvoltage[1].Despitethisgreatability,ithasnogoodperformancesinrejectingofloaddisturbanceandfollowingreferencecommands.Espec… 相似文献
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唐芳 《读与写:教育教学刊》2008,5(6)
During interview with English majors, it was found that a majority of students expressed disappointment with their experience of English literature classes. Students' dislike of learning English literature appears to be the major problem of teaching English literature in China. Reader response approach is a good way to solve this problem. In this paper, I explain the rationale behind the reader response approach, such as its origin, definition, features, assumptions, and strategies. Then I illustrate how reader response approach works as a teaching strategy by presenting several teaching models. At last I evaluate its usefuiness for teachers and present the advantages of reader response approach in Chinese context. 相似文献