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1.
目前IRT参数估计程序大多数都要求大样本容量,而基于小样本容量的IRT参数估计系统非常少,但在测验实践中小样本容量的情况经常出现.本文根据测验的实际和对IRT参数估计方法的比较研究设计开发了一个基于小样本容量的IRT参数估计系统.该系统界面友好,操作简单,估计精度高,有一定的应用推广价值.  相似文献   
2.
A multilevel logistic model for estimating a nonlinear trajectory in a multiple-baseline design is introduced. The model is applied to data from a real multiple-baseline design study to demonstrate interpretation of relevant parameters. A simple change-in-levels (ΔLevels) model and a model involving a quadratic function (Quadratic) for the nonlinear intervention phase data were also estimated. In addition, a simulation study was conducted to assess Markov chain Monte Carlo estimation of the logistic model and compare its trajectory recovery with use of the ΔLevels and Quadratic models. While most of the logistic model's parameter values were recovered well, trajectory recovery was very reasonable using the simpler Quadratic model. Results are discussed along with recommendations for practitioners and directions for future research.  相似文献   
3.
This article discusses replication sampling variance estimation techniques that are often applied in analyses using data from complex sampling designs: jackknife repeated replication, balanced repeated replication, and bootstrapping. These techniques are used with traditional analyses such as regression, but are currently not used with structural equation modeling (SEM) analyses. This article provides an extension of these methods to SEM analyses, including a proposed adjustment to the likelihood ratio test, and presents the results from a simulation study suggesting replication estimates are robust. Finally, a demonstration of the application of these methods using data from the Early Childhood Longitudinal Study is included. Secondary analysts can undertake these more robust methods of sampling variance estimation if they have access to certain SEM software packages and data management packages such as SAS, as shown in the article.  相似文献   
4.
We consider a multivariate generalized latent variable model to investigate the effects of observable and latent explanatory variables on multiple responses of interest. Various types of correlated responses, such as continuous, count, ordinal, and nominal variables, are considered in the regression. A generalized confirmatory factor analysis model that is capable of managing mixed-type data is proposed to characterize latent variables via correlated observed indicators. In addressing the complicated structure of the proposed model, we introduce continuous underlying measurements to provide a unified model framework for mixed-type data. We develop a multivariate version of the Bayesian adaptive least absolute shrinkage and selection operator procedure, which is implemented with a Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm in a full Bayesian context, to simultaneously conduct estimation and model selection. The empirical performance of the proposed methodology is demonstrated through a simulation study. An application of the proposed method to a study of adolescent substance abuse based on the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth is presented.  相似文献   
5.
Multilevel modeling is a statistical approach to analyze hierarchical data that consist of individual observations nested within clusters. Bayesian method is a well-known, sometimes better, alternative of Maximum likelihood method for fitting multilevel models. Lack of user friendly and computationally efficient software packages or programs was a main obstacle in applying Bayesian multilevel modeling. In recent years, the development of software packages for multilevel modeling with improved Bayesian algorithms and faster speed has been growing. This article aims to update the knowledge of software packages for Bayesian multilevel modeling and therefore to promote the use of these packages. Three categories of software packages capable of Bayesian multilevel modeling including brms, MCMCglmm, glmmBUGS, Bambi, R2BayesX, BayesReg, R2MLwiN and others are introduced and compared in terms of computational efficiency, modeling capability and flexibility, as well as user-friendliness. Recommendations to practical users and suggestions for future development are also discussed.  相似文献   
6.
Structural equation modeling is a common multivariate technique for the assessment of the interrelationships among latent variables. Structural equation models have been extensively applied to behavioral, medical, and social sciences. Basic structural equation models consist of a measurement equation for characterizing latent variables through multiple observed variables and a mean regression-type structural equation for investigating how explanatory latent variables influence outcomes of interest. However, the conventional structural equation does not provide a comprehensive analysis of the relationship between latent variables. In this article, we introduce the quantile regression method into structural equation models to assess the conditional quantile of the outcome latent variable given the explanatory latent variables and covariates. The estimation is conducted in a Bayesian framework with Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithm. The posterior inference is performed with the help of asymmetric Laplace distribution. A simulation shows that the proposed method performs satisfactorily. An application to a study of chronic kidney disease is presented.  相似文献   
7.
This study proposes a new model, termed the multiple membership piecewise growth model (MM-PGM), to handle individual mobility across clusters frequently encountered in longitudinal studies, especially in educational research wherein some students could attend multiple schools during the course of the study. A real data set containing some students who switched elementary schools was used to demonstrate and explain the MM-PGM. Parameter and model fit differences were compared between the MM-PGM and two other techniques for handling student mobility: the first school-PGM, which only used school membership at the first measurement occasion, and the delete-PGM, which removed mobile students from the analysis. Results indicated that the three approaches of handling mobile students led to different conclusions about the impact of school-level predictors of growth parameters and the school-level variability in the growth rates. Furthermore, deleting mobile students altered the impact of student-level predictors compared to the other two approaches.  相似文献   
8.
MCMC方法来估计上证指数收益率扩散方程中的有关参数,同时采用MonteCarlo方法给出下一交易日收益率的分布,并用实际数据检验了其有效性。最后,对上证指数收益率做了相关的风险分析。  相似文献   
9.
针对在删失试验的生存分析中,为了估计不同协变量在组内的相互影响以及一些无法观测的协变量产生的异质影响,在基准危险函数为分段指数的情形下,给出贝叶斯共享异质模型,利用Gibbs抽样得出参数的后验分布,然后对模型给出一个实证分析.模型采用乘法异质模型,利用WinBUGS软件得出后验参数相关统计量,说明此模型的有效性和可靠性.  相似文献   
10.
Semicontinuous variable analysis is a widely appreciated statistical method in such disciplines as social science, medicines, and economics. In detecting underlying structure and representing possible interrelationships, statistical analysis using a two-part model is appropriated. In this paper, we present a general extension of two-part model to the situation where the unobserved factors are included in the two parts to interpret external variability in semicontinuous variable. Auxiliary information on these factors is manifested by continuous responses via measurement model, while the interrelationships among factors are exploited through structural equation model. Moreover, under longitudinal setting, dynamic characteristics of responses between any two occasions are represented by transition model. Procedures for model fitting, parameter estimation, model selection and prediction are developed within the Bayesian paradigm. Markov Chains Monte Carlo method is used to implement posterior analysis. Empirical results including a simulation and a real example are used to illustrate the proposed methodology.  相似文献   
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