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中国在中东风险的“场景”考量
引用本文:洪正.中国在中东风险的“场景”考量[J].洛阳师范学院学报,2009,28(3):88-91.
作者姓名:洪正
作者单位:厦门大学,公共事务学院,福建,厦门,361005
摘    要:中国要在中东实现和增进国家利益,无疑会面临诸多挑战与风险。在风险"场景"上,既包括美国中东"霸主"地位的强化和延续,又包括"多国"力量在中东围绕地缘政治和"低级政治"诸内容的博弈,还包括中东内部自身状况的恶化等其他方面。对相关风险场景的认知,有助于规避相应风险,谋取中国在中东利益的最大化。

关 键 词:中国  中东  风险场景

On Risk Scenarios of China in the Middle East
HONG Zheng.On Risk Scenarios of China in the Middle East[J].Journal of Luoyang Teachers College,2009,28(3):88-91.
Authors:HONG Zheng
Institution:HONG Zheng (Public Affairs College, Amoy University, Xiamen 361005, China)
Abstract:There exist sorts of challenges or risks without hesitation when China enhances her national interests from the Middle East. The main risk scenarios there to China will be the following; America keeps and strengthens its hegemony in the Middle East; "multi-strengths" struggle for each other' s interestes of geopoliticas and lowlevel political field in the Middle East; the worse inner situation of the Middle East and so on. Recognition of the above should help avoid involved risks and maximize Chinese interests in the Middle East rigion.
Keywords:China  the Middle East  risk scenario
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