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| 世界前3名男子网球运动员比赛制胜因素技术分析 | |
| 引用本文： | 何文盛,张力为,张连成.世界前3名男子网球运动员比赛制胜因素技术分析[J].武汉体育学院学报,2011,45(9):67-73. |
| 作者姓名： | 何文盛 张力为 张连成 |
| 作者单位： | 1. 浙江师范大学体育与健康科学学院,浙江金华,321004 2. 北京体育大学运动心理学教研室,北京,100084 3. 天津体育学院运动心理学教研室,天津,300381 |
| 基金项目： | 国家科技攻关计划(2006BAK37B07)子课题 |
| 摘 要： | 对ATP官方网站所公布的世界排名前3名的男子网球运动员与排名前10名的运动员比赛(共230场)的技术数据进行统计分析,得出如下结果:①ATP官方网站公布的各技术指标之间相关性属于中低水平。②建立了世界前3名男子网球运动员制胜因素个性化的标准判别方程。③建立了世界前3名男子网球运动员比赛胜负预测的Bayes判别方程。④纳达尔、费德勒和德约科维奇胜负Bayes判别方程的预测准确率分别达到92%、92%和96%。⑤在世界排名前3的男子网球运动员中,一发球得分和一发球回球得分能力是获胜关键因素。而场地因素往往会制约某一特定运动员的制胜能力。 |
| 关 键 词： | 网球 男运动员 比赛制胜因素 标准判别方程 |
Technical analysis of winning factors of world's top there male tennis players |
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| HE Wen-sheng,ZHANG Li-wei,ZHANG Lian-cheng.Technical analysis of winning factors of world's top there male tennis players[J].Journal of Wuhan Institute of Physical Education,2011,45(9):67-73. | |
| Authors: | HE Wen-sheng ZHANG Li-wei ZHANG Lian-cheng |
| Institution: | HE Wen-sheng1,ZHANG Li-wei2,ZHANG Lian-cheng3 (1.School of Sports & Helath Science,Zhejiang Normal Univ.,Jinhua 321004,China,2.Sports Psychology Teaching & Research Office,Beijing Sport Univ.,Beijing 100084,3.Sports Psychology Teaching & Research Office,Tianjin Univ.of Sport,Tianjin 300381,China) |
| Abstract: | This study analyzed data of the word's top three male tennis players along with other top ten players from ATP offical website.The conclusions were as follows: 1) The correlation of technical indicators was low from the index system established by ATP;2) The match-winning factors standardized discrimination function of the world's top three male players was built;3) The world's top three male tennis players' match winning Bayes equation was established;4) The accuracy rate of the validity of the discriminat... |
| Keywords: | tennis male player competition winning factor standardized discriminatory function |
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