| 我国经济增长影响因素的协整研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 徐强.我国经济增长影响因素的协整研究[J].淮南师范学院学报,2013(5):34-39. |
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| 作者姓名： | 徐强 |
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| 作者单位： | 安徽理工大学经济与管理学院,安徽淮南232001 |
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| 基金项目： | 安徽省软科学研究计划项目（12020503077）;安徽省高校省级人文社会科学研究项目（SK2012A057） |
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| 摘 要： | 在后金融危机时代，保持持续稳定的经济增长具有重要意义。依据1978-2010年间的国内生产总值、劳动、资本、出口和进口等样本数据，对我国经济增长影响因素问题进行实证分析。研究表明：它们间有长期与短期的均衡关系；劳动、资本和对外贸易对经济增长的作用和影响程度不同，存在进口替代的现象；经济和出口的增长都是资本增长的格兰杰因果原因，进口增长也是出口增长的格兰杰因果原因。当务之急是要保持政策间的协调性和稳定性，增强投资决策的科学性。
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| 关 键 词： | 经济增长 劳动 资本 出口 进口 协整研究 |
A Cointegration Research on Factors Influencing the Economic Growth in China |
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| XU Qiang.A Cointegration Research on Factors Influencing the Economic Growth in China[J].Journal of Huainan Teachers College,2013(5):34-39. |
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| Authors: | XU Qiang |
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| Abstract: | In the era of post-financial crisis, it is important that China maintains a sustained and stable economic growth. Based on the sample data of GDP, labor, capital, export and import from 1978 to 2010 in China, this paper makes an empirical analysis on factors influencing the economic growth. It is found that there are long-term equilibrium and short-term equilibrium relationship among them. As the import degree and influence degree are concerted, labor, capital, export and import are different to the economic growth in long-term and short-term, and there is the import substitution phenomenon. The growth of economy and export are all granger causal reason of the capital growth, and import growth is also granger causal reason of the export growth. This paper proposes recommendations that the policy should keep coordination and stability, and that should improve the investment decision-making more and more scientific and so on. |
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| Keywords: | economic growth labor capital export import cointegration research |
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