| 基于中心点混合正弦函数的灰色聚类评估——以工程类科技基础研究项目为例 |
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| 引用本文： | 孙德强,许金华,陈森森.基于中心点混合正弦函数的灰色聚类评估——以工程类科技基础研究项目为例[J].科技管理研究,2018(23). |
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| 作者姓名： | 孙德强 许金华 陈森森 |
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| 作者单位： | 中国科学院科技战略咨询研究院,中国科学院科技战略咨询研究院,无锡市惠山地方税务局 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金(71673266)Foundation item: National Natural Science Foundation of China (71673266) 许金华1** 陈森森2 |
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| 摘 要： | 工程类科技项目可以划分为基础研究项目、应用研究项目、技术开发项目、软科学项目4种,构建4种项目的指标评价体系,对其绩效情况进行评估。引入适合于"少数据、贫信息"情形的灰色系统理论,提出基于中心点混合正弦可能度函数的灰色聚类评估模型,采用较为光滑的正弦可能度函数,克服原有基于三角可能度函数的部分缺点。以某工程类科技基础研究项目中某天然气开发关键技术研究项目为例,运用该评估模型进行实证研究,结果表明该方法切实可行,所评估项目属于中绩效灰类的概率为51.88%。
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| 关 键 词： | 工程类科技项目 绩效 灰色系统 综合评价 灰类 |
| 收稿时间： | 2018/3/7 0:00:00 |
| 修稿时间： | 2018/11/26 0:00:00 |
Performance Evaluation of S T Projects of Engineering Type Based on a Novel Grey Clustering Comprehensive Evaluation Model |
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| Abstract: | Engineering science and technology (S&T) project is an important kind of science and technology project. Scientific and reasonable evaluation of the performance of the kind of projects can improve existing policy of S&T funding. Engineering S&T projects can be divided into basic research projects, application research projects, technical development projects, soft science projects. This paper constructs the index evaluation system of the above four kinds of projects. Then grey system theory suitable for less data and poor information is introduced. A grey clustering model based on centre-point mixed sine possibility degree function is first put forward. The model uses a smooth sine possibility degree function to overcome some shortcomings of the previous model based on centre-point mixed triangular whitenisation weight function. Taking the key technology research project of gas development, a basic research project, for example, this paper applies the new model to evaluate its performance. The results indicate that the method is available and it probably belongs to the middle performance grey class with the possibility of 51.88%. |
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| Keywords: | S T projects of engineering type performance grey system comprehensive evaluation grey class |
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