| 基于证据推理的沿海水域交通安全评估 |
| |
| 引用本文： | 张欣欣,席永涛,黄常海,胡甚平.基于证据推理的沿海水域交通安全评估[J].上海海事大学学报,2011,32(2):37-41. |
| |
| 作者姓名： | 张欣欣 席永涛 黄常海 胡甚平 |
| |
| 作者单位： | 上海海事大学商船学院,上海,201306 |
| |
| 基金项目： | 上海市教育委员会科研创新项目（09YZ252） |
| |
| 摘 要： | 为减少海上交通事故的发生,在建立沿海水域(Coastal Water Area,CWA)交通安全评估因素三层次结构的基础上,针对事故统计数据的不确定性,尝试采用证据推理(Evidential Reasoning,ER)方法进行CWA交通安全评估,并运用案例证实该方法的可行性.评估结果可以为海事安全管理工作决策提供参考依...
|
| 关 键 词： | 沿海水域 交通安全评估 证据推理 信任度 |
| 收稿时间： | 12/3/2010 9:12:32 PM |
| 修稿时间： | 5/4/2011 4:49:06 PM |
Evidential reasoning approach for CWA traffic safety assessment |
| |
| ZHANG Xinxin,XI Yongtao,HUANG Changhai,HU Shenping.Evidential reasoning approach for CWA traffic safety assessment[J].Journal of Shanghai Maritime University,2011,32(2):37-41. |
| |
| Authors: | ZHANG Xinxin XI Yongtao HUANG Changhai HU Shenping |
| |
| Institution: | Shanghai Maritime University+Merchant Marine College,Merchant Marine College, Shanghai Maritime University,1 and 1 |
| |
| Abstract: | To reduce maritime traffic accidents,on the basis of establishing the three-level structure of Coastal Water Area(CWA) traffic safety assessment factors,an Evidential Reasoning(ER) approach is attempted to assess CWA traffic safety in view of the uncertainty of the accident statistics,and feasibility of the method is confirmed by a case.The assessment result provides a decision reference for the maritime safety management. |
| |
| Keywords: | coastal water area traffic safety assessment evidential reasoning belief degree |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 万方数据 等数据库收录！ |
| 点击此处可从《上海海事大学学报》浏览原始摘要信息 |
| 点击此处可从《上海海事大学学报》下载免费的PDF全文 |
|
