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福建入境旅游与经济增长和对外开放关系动态分析
引用本文:赵东喜.福建入境旅游与经济增长和对外开放关系动态分析[J].福建师范大学学报(哲学社会科学版),2007(6):126-131.
作者姓名:赵东喜
作者单位:福建师范大学福清分校人文科学系,福建,福清,350300
摘    要:本文运用协整检验、脉冲响应及方差分解等计量经济学方法,分析了福建省入境旅游、经济增长与对外开放的动态关系.结果表明:福建入境旅游收入、国际旅游人数、经济增长与对外开放存在协整关系;国际旅游收入受经济增长与对外开放影响效应大于其自身及入境旅游人数的影响效应;入境旅游市场对改革开放有先导窗口作用,国际旅游收入增长对经济增长与对外开放的正向作用时滞较长;入境旅游发展对经济增长的依托性增强.

关 键 词:入境旅游  经济增长  对外开放  协整  脉冲响应  方差分解
文章编号:1000-5285(2007)06-0126-06
修稿时间:2007年3月23日

An Analysis of Dynamic Relationship among Fujian International Tourism and Economic Growth and Opening up to the outside
ZHAO Dong-xi.An Analysis of Dynamic Relationship among Fujian International Tourism and Economic Growth and Opening up to the outside[J].Journal of Fujian Normal University(Philosophy and Social Sciences Edtion),2007(6):126-131.
Authors:ZHAO Dong-xi
Abstract:This paper,by economics means of co-integration tests,Impulse Response Function and,Variance Decomposition,analyzes the dynamic relationship of Fujian international tourism and economic growth and opening up.The results are as follows: there is a co-integration relationship among Fujian international tourism and economic growth and opening up;the effect of economic growth and opening up shocks on international tourism income is greater than that of itself and international tourism market growth;international tourism market growth is the leader and window of opening up,the favorite time lag of international tourism income to economic growth and opening up is longer;dependence of international tourism income increase on economic growth is increasing.
Keywords:international tourism  economic growth  opening up to the outside  co-integration  IRF  variance decomposition
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