| 基于协整方法的广西金融发展与经济增长关系实证研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 罗力强,李彦,李俊强.基于协整方法的广西金融发展与经济增长关系实证研究[J].广西大学梧州分校学报,2012(5):16-25. |
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| 作者姓名： | 罗力强 李彦 李俊强 |
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| 作者单位： | [1]广西大学行健文理学院,广西南宁530005 [2]广西财经学院金融与保险学院,广西南宁530003 [3]南宁职业技术学院商学院,广西南宁530008 |
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| 基金项目： | 广西壮族自治区教育厅2010年度科研资助项目（1012MS243）研究成果 |
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| 摘 要： | 研究广西区域金融发展与经济增长的关系，对于制定广西“十二五”经济发展目标的金融政策具有重要指导意义。实证研究显示，金融机构存款余额和贷款余额对GDP的影响在短期和长期都比较大，金融相关率对GDP的影响是负向的，说明严重依赖间接融资的模式对经济增长产生了显著的消极影响，制约了经济的进一步良性增长。Chow’S断点检验结果显示，西部大开发战略实施以来，信贷规模对广西经济增长的推动作用呈递减趋势。广西金融结构的改善使其对经济增长的抑制作用有所减轻，但金融结构的改善程度还远远不够。这是广西“十二五”时期深化金融体系改革的重要目标之一。
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| 关 键 词： | 广西 金融发展 经济增长 协整 |
An Empirical Research Based on Co-integration Method into the Relationship between Financial Development and Economic Growth in |
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| Luo Liqiang,Li Yan,Li Junqiang.An Empirical Research Based on Co-integration Method into the Relationship between Financial Development and Economic Growth in[J].Journal of Guangxi University Wuzhou Branch,2012(5):16-25. |
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| Authors: | Luo Liqiang Li Yan Li Junqiang |
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| Institution: | 1. Xingjian College of Science And Liberal Arts, Guangxi University, Nanning 530005, China; 2. School of Finance And Insurance, Guangxi University of Finance And Economics, Nanning 530003, China; 3. Business School, Nanning Vocational ＆ Technical College, Nanning 530008, China) |
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| Abstract: | Researching the relationship between regional financial development and economic growth of Guangxi is of instructive significance for financial poly-making to achieve economic growth objective of Guangxi in the 12th Five-Year Plan period. Empirical research indicates that deposit and loan balance of financial institutions has great impact on GDP in both the short and long run. In addition, finance rate has a negative effect on GDP, which means that the pattern of severe dependence on indirect finance has an obvious negative effect on economic growth and this restritcts further sound progress of economy. Chow＇ s breakpoint test result indicates that, with the implementation of the West Development Strategy, the driving force for economic growth in Guangxi by credit scale showed a decreasing trend. The improvement of financial structure in Guangxi alleviated the inhibition effect on economic growth, but the improvement of financial structure is far from enough. This is one of the important goals of further financial system reform during Guangxi＇ s 12th Five-Year Plan period. |
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| Keywords: | Guangxi financial development economic growth co-integration |
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