| 商业航天领域军民科技资源融合行为的演化博弈分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 于娟,唐小军,于丽静.商业航天领域军民科技资源融合行为的演化博弈分析[J].科技管理研究,2019,39(19). |
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| 作者姓名： | 于娟 唐小军 于丽静 |
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| 作者单位： | 中国电子信息产业发展研究院消费品工业研究所,北京,100846;中国空间技术研究院北京卫星制造厂有限公司,北京,100094;烟台南山学院商学院,山东烟台,265713 |
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| 摘 要： | 随着国家军民融合战略的深入实施,军民科技资源融合对我国商业航天产业发展具有重要意义。基于演化博弈理论构建军民企业科技资源融合行为选择决策模型,通过复制动态方程对策略选择进行稳定性分析,并运用MATLAB 7.0软件进行模拟仿真。研究结果表明:军民企业积极进行科技资源融合所产生的合作收益影响融合质量,不理想的合作收益易诱发机会主义行为、不利于融合;合作收益的分配合理与否影响融合行为的演化方向,且按劳分配最有利于高质量融合;军民企业消极融合所受到惩罚力度也是影响融合的重要因素,较大的违约成本能有效抑制机会主义行为的出现。最后,从协同价值创造、利益分配机制完善、约束机制制定方面提出助推我国商业航天军民科技资源有效融合的建议。
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| 关 键 词： | 商业航天 军民融合 科技资源 演化博弈 |
| 收稿时间： | 2018/11/15 0:00:00 |
| 修稿时间： | 2019/9/24 0:00:00 |
Analysis on the Military and Civilian Scientific and Technological Resource Integration Behavior in Commercial Spaceflight Based on the Evolutionary Game Theory |
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| Abstract: | The military and civilian resource integration behavior in commercial spaceflight that is of great significance to the high-quality development of commercial spaceflight under the background that our country vigorously promotes military and civilian integration. The decision-making model of the military and civilian resource integration behavior choice between military and civilian enterprises is built based on evolutionary game theory, and stable strategies are analyzed by replicator dynamics equation. The evolution behaviors of military and civilian enterprises in the military and civilian resource integration are analyzed and based on the above analysis some numerical simulations are given using the Matlab7.0. The results show that: the cooperation benefits of active resource integration between military and civilian enterprises directly affect the quality of the military and civilian resource integration, and poor cooperation benefits will induce opportunistic behavior, which is not conducive to the integration of both; The reasonable distribution of cooperation benefits directly affect the evolution direction of the behavior of military and civilian resource integration, and for profit allocation, distributing according to work, which is beneficial to high-quality integration of both; The punishments caused negative integration are also important factors of the integration of both, and the higher default costs can effectively restrain the emergence of their opportunistic behavior. Finally, suggestions are put forward from the three aspects of collaborative value creation, the perfection of benefit distribution mechanism and the formulation of the constraint mechanism. |
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| Keywords: | commercial spaceflight military and civilian integration scientific and technological resource evolutionary game |
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