| 长三角、珠三角与海西区经济增长动态关系研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 赵东喜,刘永涓.长三角、珠三角与海西区经济增长动态关系研究[J].福建师大福清分校学报,2010(1):20-25. |
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| 作者姓名： | 赵东喜 刘永涓 |
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| 作者单位： | 福建师范大学福清分校人文科学系,福建福清,350300 |
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| 摘 要： | 根据1978年至2005年的时间序列，运用协整检验与脉冲响应函数方法，计量分析了长江三角洲、珠江三角洲与海峡西岸经济区经济增长之间的动态关系。结果表明：长三角、珠三角与海西区经济增长之间有协整关系，呈现一定的长期均衡性；长三角与珠三角经济具有内在稳定性。而海西区经济稳定增长能力相对较弱；长三角经济对海西区的极化效应大于溢出效应，辐射带动作用微弱，而珠三角经济促进了福建省经济增长，溢出效应明显；两大三角洲经济跨过海西区直接发生相互促进作用。福建省经济出现“边缘化”趋势。
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| 关 键 词： | 经济增长 协整 脉冲响应函数 |
A Study on Dynamic Relationship of Economic Growth among the Yangtze River Delta, Pear River Delta and West Coast of Straits |
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| ZHAO Dongxi,LIU Yongjuan.A Study on Dynamic Relationship of Economic Growth among the Yangtze River Delta, Pear River Delta and West Coast of Straits[J].Journal of Fuqing Branch of Fujian Normal University,2010(1):20-25. |
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| Authors: | ZHAO Dongxi LIU Yongjuan |
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| Institution: | Fuqing Branch of Fujian Normal University;Fuqing;Fujian 350300 |
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| Abstract: | Based on the 1978 -2005 time series, this paper analyzes the dynamic relationship of economic growth among the Yangtze River Delta (YRD), West Coast of the Straits (WCS) and Pear River Delta (PRD) by economics means of Co-integration tests and Impulse Response Function (IRF). The results show there is a co-integration relationship among the YRD, WCS and PRD, which is long stable. The inherent laws of the YRD and PRD economics are stable, but that of the WCS is very weak. The economic polarization effect of ... |
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| Keywords: | Economic growth Co-integration Impulse response function |
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