| GM(1,1)背景值重构模型在体育中的应用研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 陈亮,田德宝.GM(1,1)背景值重构模型在体育中的应用研究[J].首都体育学院学报,2006,18(6):127-128. |
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| 作者姓名： | 陈亮 田德宝 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 曲阜师范大学体育科学学报,山东曲阜,273165
2. 滨州学院体育系,山东滨州 |
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| 摘 要： | 由对GM（1，1）模型计算步骤的探讨，找出影响该模型预测精度的原因，通过改变其背景值的构造方法，提高了GM（1，1）模型的预测精度。并通过对NBA球员的平均工资预测，证明了此种方法在体育领域高增长指数序列建模过程中，有着比传统的GM（1．1）模型更好的实用价值。
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| 关 键 词： | GM(1 1)模型 背景值 预测精度 球员工资 |
| 文章编号： | 1009-783X（2006）05-0127-02 |
| 收稿时间： | 2005-11-17 |
| 修稿时间： | 2005年11月17 |
The Application Research of the Reconstructed GM(1,1) Model of Background Value in Sports |
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| CHEN Liang,TIAN De-bao.The Application Research of the Reconstructed GM(1,1) Model of Background Value in Sports[J].Journal of Capital College of Physical Education,2006,18(6):127-128. |
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| Authors: | CHEN Liang TIAN De-bao |
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| Abstract: | This paper aims at finding out the reasons for influencing the calculated precision of GM(1,1) model through analyzing the calculating procedure of this model and tries to improve the calculated precision of GM(1,1) model by changing the construction of background value.By forecasting the average wages of players in NBA,it also proves that this method has a more practical value than the traditional GM(1,1) model used in the procedure of constructing model for the high increased index orders in sports. |
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| Keywords: | NBA |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 万方数据 等数据库收录！ |
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