| 海城地区春季降水量模型 |
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| 引用本文： | 栾岚,曹丽军,周美涛,冀赛静,刘会民.海城地区春季降水量模型[J].鞍山师范学院学报,2010,12(2):5-7. |
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| 作者姓名： | 栾岚 曹丽军 周美涛 冀赛静 刘会民 |
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| 作者单位： | 鞍山师范学院,数学系,辽宁,鞍山,114007 |
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| 摘 要： | 根据海城气象局提供的近20多年的实测降雨量资料，利用灰色理论建立了灰色预测GM（1，1）模型对海城春季降雨量进行预测．用残差检验、关联度检验等分析、验证了模型的精度．最后根据实测资料对预测结论进行了实际检验．
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| 关 键 词： | 海城地区 春季 降水量 灰色系统理论 |
The Model of Spring Rainfall in Haicheng Area |
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| LAN Lan,CAO Li-jun,ZHOU Mei-tao,JI Sai-jing,LIU Hui-min.The Model of Spring Rainfall in Haicheng Area[J].Journal of Anshan Teachers College,2010,12(2):5-7. |
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| Authors: | LAN Lan CAO Li-jun ZHOU Mei-tao JI Sai-jing LIU Hui-min |
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| Institution: | LAN Lan,CAO Li-jun,ZHOU Mei-tao,JI Sai-jing,LIU Hui-min(Department of Mathematic,Anshan Normal University,Anshan Liaoning 114007,China) |
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| Abstract: | Based on the materials of actually measured rainfall in recent 20 years supplied by Haicheng Meteorological Bureau,this paper uses Grey System Theory to build the model of Grey Prediction to predict the rainfall in the spring in Haicheng area,analyzes the precision of the model by means of residual error and degree of association verification,and actually verifies the predicted results according to the data. |
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| Keywords: | Haicheng area Spring Rainfall Grey System Theory |
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