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2001年至2010年澜沧江流域植被覆盖动态变化分析
引用本文:范娜,谢高地,张昌顺,陈龙,李文华,成升魁.2001年至2010年澜沧江流域植被覆盖动态变化分析[J].资源科学,2012,34(7):1222-1231.
作者姓名:范娜  谢高地  张昌顺  陈龙  李文华  成升魁
作者单位:1. 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所,北京100101 中国科学院研究生院,北京100049
2. 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所,北京,100101
基金项目:科技部基础性工作专项(编号:2008FY110300);国家973课题(编号:2009CB421106);国家自然科学基金项目(编号:30770410).
摘    要:本文利用2001年-2010年MODIS09Q1数据,基于遥感和地理信息系统技术,建立近10a澜沧江流域NDVI时序数据集。并利用最大值合成法、一元线性回归方法、Hurst指数方法分析近10a澜沧江流域植被的时空变化。结果表明:①多年平均的植被指数有明显的空间差异性,随着纬度的升高而降低,在北纬27.6~29.2°存在一个明显的过渡带;且与高程和坡度均呈负相关关系,植被指数随着高程升高而降低的趋势较明显,高程大于5000m的区域NDVI平均值仅为0.18;②近10a来,澜沧江流域植被总体呈现增加趋势,但增加速率和增加幅度存在区域差异,上游地区植被覆盖增加最快且幅度最大,中游次之,下游最低;③2001年-2010年澜沧江流域植被覆盖整体得到改善的区域面积明显大于退化区域;澜沧江流域Hurst指数分析表明澜沧江流域植被变化将保持现在的趋势;综合分析slope和Hurst指数结果,表明NDVI变化趋势以良性发展为主,但NDVI强持续性的退化区和弱持续性的改善区域值得关注。

关 键 词:澜沧江流域  归一化植被指数(NDVI)  时空格局  趋势分析  Hurst指数
收稿时间:4/2/2012 12:00:00 AM

Spatial-Temporal Dynamic Changes of Vegetation Cover in Lancang River Basin during 2001-2010
FAN N,XIE Gaodi,ZHANG Changshun,CHEN Long,LI Wenhua and CHENG Shengkui.Spatial-Temporal Dynamic Changes of Vegetation Cover in Lancang River Basin during 2001-2010[J].Resources Science,2012,34(7):1222-1231.
Authors:FAN N  XIE Gaodi  ZHANG Changshun  CHEN Long  LI Wenhua and CHENG Shengkui
Institution:Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China;Graduate University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China;Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China;Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China;Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China;Graduate University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China;Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China;Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China
Abstract:Remote sensing data has been widely used to monitor the change of eco-environment and vegetation cover. Normalized Differential Vegetation Index (NDVI) is an effective way to analysis spatial-temporal dynamic change of vegetation cover .Based on RS and GIS technology, MODIS09Q1 data with spatial resolution of 250m×250m from 2001 to 2010 were used to construct NDVI time series dataset in the Lancang River basin. To furtherly remove the cloud contaminated images,the HANTS algorithm and MVC(Maximum Value Composites)method were used. Then, this paper analyzed the temporal and spatial variation of vegetation index by using the liner regression, HURST index and other methods. The results showed that: 1) The annual NDVI had an obvious spatial difference: it was found that vegetation index decreased when latitude increased from south to north ,and at the same time there was an abrupt decline at 27.6°~29.2°N where the NDVI decline rate was higher than other regions; it was also foud that NDVI showed negative correlation with DEM and slope, the trend that NDVI reduced with the rising of the elevation was more apparent, the average NDVI of the area (DEM> 5000 m) was only 0.18; 2) The value of NDVI had a fluctuation change trend during the past 10 years ,but on the whole there still was a significant increased trend of vegetation cover in the Lancang river basin(R 2 =0.52,P=0.02), reaching a maximum value 0.7 of the whole area in 2010. NDVI increased with 0.02/year average rate and the NDVI of 2010 was 28.57% more than NDVI of 2001.The trends of the upper basin, middle basin and lower basin were similar with the entire basin, but the rate the degree of change were not the same. In general, the rate of change in the upper basin was higher than other basins, and the degree of changes in the upper basin were most obvious; 3) During the period of 2001-2010, the vegetation cover improved area was much larger than the degraded area, which occupied 80% or more of the total basin; Based on the Hurst index analysis showed, the whole basin was almost nonexistent anti-sustainability phenomenon , it would maintain the current trend , which the area of middle and strong persistent made up about 60% of the total basin; Comprehensive analysis of variation tendency and persistence ,showed that the area of vegetation cover change to healthy development, but the NDVI decreased areas with strong persistence and the NDVI increased areas with weak persistence might be indicative.
Keywords:Lancang river basion  NDVI  Spatial-temporal Pattern  Trend Analysis  Hurst index
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