| 高技术渗透演化过程的随机分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 吴翰,马庆国,姚志坚.高技术渗透演化过程的随机分析[J].科研管理,1999,20(5):61-67. |
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| 作者姓名： | 吴翰 马庆国 姚志坚 |
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| 作者单位： | 浙江大学工商管理学院,杭州,310027 |
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| 摘 要： | 高技术渗透是推动产业高技术化的有效方式，是实现我国产业结构调整、经济成功转型的优化选择。本文运用随机分析中的生灭过程理论，细致地描述了高技术渗透的微观机理，探讨了高技术渗透的三种演进模式；并且结合数理方法，给出了报酬递增机制是主导技术选择的决定因素的论断的一个证明
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| 关 键 词： | 高技术渗透 演化模式 生灭过程 报酬递增 |
Study on Birth-death Process in the Evolution Modes of High-tech Effusion |
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| Wu Han,Ma Qingguo,Yao Zhijian.Study on Birth-death Process in the Evolution Modes of High-tech Effusion[J].Science Research Management,1999,20(5):61-67. |
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| Authors: | Wu Han Ma Qingguo Yao Zhijian |
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| Abstract: | It is an effective modus to promote industries high in technology by high-tech effusion, and it is also an optimizing choice to carry out the adjustment of industrial constitution and successfully transformation of economy In this paper, it presents the microcosmic mechanism of high-tech effusion and discusses three modes of high-tech effusion by Birth-Death Process Theory in Stochastic Analysis. In the end, it put out a mathematical prove on the thesis that Increasing Return Rule is the key factor in the choice of dominant technology. |
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| Keywords: | high-tech effusion evolution modes Birth-Death Process increasing return |
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