| 杂货预测方法的探讨 |
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| 引用本文： | 顾伟红.杂货预测方法的探讨[J].上海海事大学学报,2000,21(1). |
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| 作者姓名： | 顾伟红 |
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| 作者单位： | 上海海运学院管理学院国航系,上海,200135 |
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| 摘 要： | 货源预测是船队经营决策的重要依据。然而 ,杂货货源预测由于杂货的界定不明、杂货品种多等因素而难以进行。本文根据预测目的 ,讨论了杂货统计范围的界定 ,并提出杂货按货类预测的新思路。在此基础上 ,结合集装箱化率、散货船承运份额等因素对可供杂货船承运的杂货进行了推算。
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| 关 键 词： | 杂货 统计范围 预测方法 |
A Study of forecasting Methods for General Cargo |
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| Gu Weihong.A Study of forecasting Methods for General Cargo[J].Journal of Shanghai Maritime University,2000,21(1). |
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| Authors: | Gu Weihong |
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| Abstract: | Cargo forecasting will provide scientific basis for the fleeting operation and management. However, prediction is difficult for general cargo because of a wide and unfixed statistics scope. This paper tells how to define the relevant statistics scope of general cargo according to the forecasting aim, and a new forecasting method is put forward for the general cargo possibly carried by general ships. |
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| Keywords: | general cargo definition of statistics scope forecasting methods |
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