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2011~2020年河南省普通高等教育规模发展研究
引用本文:赵一鹏,陈锋正,宰波.2011~2020年河南省普通高等教育规模发展研究[J].河南职业技术师范学院学报(职业教育版),2011(7).
作者姓名:赵一鹏  陈锋正  宰波
作者单位:河南科技学院;
摘    要:高等教育适龄人口是决定高等教育规模的一个重要参数,通过出生人口数计算适龄人口预测模型和小学入学人口数计算适龄人口预测模型的比较,获取真实、准确的河南省普通高等教育适龄人口参数。依据在校生数和毛入学率两个重要指标衡量河南省普通高等教育规模,并预测未来十年在校学生数量年均增长率控制在11%左右,到2020年河南省高等教育将开始进入普及化阶段。

关 键 词:普通高等教育规模  适龄人口  毛入学率  在校学生数  

Research on the scale development of regular higher education in Henan Province from 2011 to 2020
Zhao Yipeng,Chen Fengzheng,Zai Bo.Research on the scale development of regular higher education in Henan Province from 2011 to 2020[J].Journal of Henan Vocation-Technical Teachers College(Vocational Education Edition),2011(7).
Authors:Zhao Yipeng  Chen Fengzheng  Zai Bo
Institution:Zhao Yipeng,Chen Fengzheng,Zai Bo(Henan Institute of Science and Technology,Xinxiang 453003,China)
Abstract:Population of the right age in higher education is an important parameter to determine the scale of higher education.By comparing the population forecast model from the number of births and the one from the number of primary school-age enrollment,we can get the true and accurate demographic parameters of the higher school-age population in Henan Province.Based on these two important indicators of the number of college students and gross enrollment ration,we can measure the scale of higher education in Henan...
Keywords:regular higher education scale  population of the right age  gross enrollment ration  population of college students  
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