| 灰色神经网络在预测企业经营活动现金流中的应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 苏瑾,周健勇.灰色神经网络在预测企业经营活动现金流中的应用[J].科技与管理,2011,13(3):97-100. |
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| 作者姓名： | 苏瑾 周健勇 |
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| 作者单位： | 上海理工大学,管理学院,上海,200093 |
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| 摘 要： | 为了了解企业经营活动净现金流的变化趋势,从而使企业做出规避财务风险的正确决策,利用灰色Verhulst模型与BP神经网络相结合的方法来预测企业经营活动净现金流量。实例证明,灰色神经网络模型预测值的平均相对误差率均小于单独使用以上2种方法,模型精度准确性较高,有一定的应用价值。
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| 关 键 词： | 灰色Verhulst 神经网络 经营活动现金流 预测 |
Use of Grey Verhulst model in the prediction of operating activity cash flow |
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| SU Jin,ZHOU Jian-yong.Use of Grey Verhulst model in the prediction of operating activity cash flow[J].Science-Technology and Management,2011,13(3):97-100. |
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| Authors: | SU Jin ZHOU Jian-yong |
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| Institution: | SU Jin,ZHOU Jian-yong (Collage of Management,University of Shanghai for Science and Technology,Shanghai 200093,China) |
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| Abstract: | In order to make a correct decision on avoiding financial risks for enterprises,it is necessary to investigate the trends of net cash flow in enterprise business activities.In this paper,operating cash flow forecasting model is built using the Gray Verhulst model as well as the BP Neural Network approach.Empirical analyses prove that the average relative error rate is much less than using the two methods respectively.What's more,the accuracy and precison of the model are better,which,to some extent,show the... |
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| Keywords: | Grey Verhulst neural network operating activity cash flow prediction |
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