| 安徽省城市化与经济增长关系研究 |
| |
| 引用本文： | 朱多策,李强.安徽省城市化与经济增长关系研究[J].安徽广播电视大学学报,2014(1):42-48. |
| |
| 作者姓名： | 朱多策 李强 |
| |
| 作者单位： | 安徽财经大学经济学院;安徽广播电视大学科研处; |
| |
| 基金项目： | 国家社会科学基金项目“中部地区城市化驱动经济发展方式转变的机制与政策研究”(项目编号:12CJL071) |
| |
| 摘 要： | 经济增长是城市化的根本动力,同时城市化能够成为经济发展的载体,因此研究城市化与经济增长的关系显得尤为重要.依据1985-2011年的时间序列数据,利用因子分析、协整检验、误差修正模型和格兰杰因果检验等方法,采用城市化的综合指标,对安徽省城市化水平与经济增长的关系进行回归分析.结果发现,安徽省城市化与经济增长之间存在长期均衡关系,经济增长是城市化水平提高的格兰杰原因,城市化水平不是经济增长的格兰杰原因,说明经济增长对城市化的正向作用明显强于城市化对经济增长的反向影响.
|
| 关 键 词： | 城市化 经济增长 因子分析 协整检验 格兰杰因果检验 |
Study on the Relationship between the Urbanization and Economic Growth in Anhui Province |
| |
| ZHU Duo-ce,LI Qiang.Study on the Relationship between the Urbanization and Economic Growth in Anhui Province[J].Journal of Anhui Television University,2014(1):42-48. |
| |
| Authors: | ZHU Duo-ce LI Qiang |
| |
| Institution: | 1. School of Economics, Anhui University of Finance and Economics, Bengbu Anhui 233000,China; 2. Science and Research Office, Anhui Radio and TV University, Hefei 230022,China) |
| |
| Abstract: | Economic growth is the fundamental of the carrier of economic development, therefore, driving force of urbanization, and urbanization can become it is particularly important to study the relationship be- tween urbanization and economic growth. Based on time series data of the years 1985--2011, using factor a- nalysis, co-integration test, error correction model, Granger causality test and comprehensive indicators of ur- banization, the regression analysis of the relationship between the level of urbanization and economic growth in Anhui province is made. It is found that there is long-run equilibrium relationship between Anhui Province urbanization and economic growth, economic growth is the Granger cause of the increased level of urbaniza- tion, but the level of urbanization is not the Granger cause of economic growth, which shows the positive act of economic growth to urbanization is stronger than the reverse effect of urbanization to economic growth. |
| |
| Keywords: | urbanization economic growth factor analysis co-integration test Granger causality test |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 等数据库收录！ |
|
