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可持续发展系统的持续性与协调性分析--以桂林工业及客车工业为例
引用本文:吴玉鸣,李建霞.可持续发展系统的持续性与协调性分析--以桂林工业及客车工业为例[J].广西师范大学学报(哲学社会科学版),2002,38(4):35-38.
作者姓名:吴玉鸣  李建霞
作者单位:广西师范大学,法商学院,广西,桂林,541001
基金项目:国家自然科学基金资助项目(40171069)、国家社会科学基金资助项目(00BJL051)、广西交通厅科技项目桂交科技(1999879).
摘    要:可持续发展系统(PREES)由人口、资源、环境、经济和社会等系统助记词其要素构成,其关键是实现系统的持续发展与系统内部各个子系统及其要素之间的协调。对于PREES系统,可利用灰色系统理论方法模型,建立持续协调分析定量模型。以桂林工业为案例进行实证研究,其结果符合桂林市工业发展实际,具有较强的推广应用价值。

关 键 词:可持续发展系统(PREES)  持续性  协调性  灰色系统GM(1  N)模型
文章编号:1001-6597(2002)04-0035-04
修稿时间:2002年6月18日

A HARMONIOUS METHOD AND MODEL AND ITS POSITIVE STUDY ON SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT SYSTEM --A case study of Guilin's industry and bus industry
WU Yu ming,LI Jian xia.A HARMONIOUS METHOD AND MODEL AND ITS POSITIVE STUDY ON SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT SYSTEM --A case study of Guilin''''s industry and bus industry[J].Journal of Guangxi Normal University(Philosphy and Social Science Edition),2002,38(4):35-38.
Authors:WU Yu ming  LI Jian xia
Abstract:The sustainable development system made up of population, resources, environment, economy and society (PREES). The key of sustainable development is to realize harmony of the systematic inside sub systems and factors. The author thinks that the PREES can be studied by grey system theory, method and model. Using grey system theory, method and model, this paper quantitatively set up a new sustainable and harmonious method to sdudy PREES. At last, a positive study is made by the case study of bus industry of Guilin. The results accord with the practice of industrial development in Guilin City. The method and model obviously have values of generalization and application.
Keywords:sustainable development system(PREES)  sustainablility  harmony  GM(1  N) model of grey system
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