| 三亚邮轮旅游市场潜力预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 鲍富元.三亚邮轮旅游市场潜力预测[J].洛阳师范学院学报,2011,30(7):126-128. |
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| 作者姓名： | 鲍富元 |
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| 作者单位： | 海南大学三亚学院,海南三亚,572000 |
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| 摘 要： | 邮轮旅游是国际旅游业中增长幅度较大的业务之一,三亚的邮轮旅游自凤凰岛国际邮轮码头投入使用以来,发展也步入快车道。通过三次指数平滑法对三亚旅游市场的总游客人数进行预测,并在此基础上结合国际经验中邮轮游客占总游客量的比率,进一步估测三亚邮轮旅游的游客市场规模。预测显示三亚邮轮旅游市场的发展潜力巨大,增长速度较快,为深入推动三亚邮轮旅游市场发展提供了保证。
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| 关 键 词： | 三次指数平滑法 邮轮旅游市场 潜力预测 |
Prediction of the Cruise Tourism Market Size of Sanya |
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| BAO Fu-yuan.Prediction of the Cruise Tourism Market Size of Sanya[J].Journal of Luoyang Teachers College,2011,30(7):126-128. |
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| Authors: | BAO Fu-yuan |
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| Institution: | BAO Fu-yuan (Sanya college,Hainan University,Sanya 572000,China) |
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| Abstract: | Cruise tourism is one of the businesses which develop quickly in the international tourism,and the cruise tourism of Sanya has also got a fast development since the Phoenix Island cruise terminal was put into service.Cubic exponential smoothing method is applied to forecast the number of the Sanya tourists,according to the international empirical rate of the cruise tourists in the total tourists,the paper estimates the market size of Sanya cruise tourism.This is important for recognizing the trend of Sanya ... |
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| Keywords: | Cubic exponential smoothing method market of cruise tourism potential prediction |
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