| 我国经济增长中合理投资率的确定 |
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| 引用本文： | 乔为国,潘必胜.我国经济增长中合理投资率的确定[J].中国软科学,2005(7):76-82. |
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| 作者姓名： | 乔为国 潘必胜 |
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| 作者单位： | 中国社会科学院,研究生院,北京,100102 |
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| 摘 要： | 本文针对我国高的投资率和低的消费率问题，建立了一个确定实现充分就业目标的合理投资率模型，并用该模型估算了我国合理的投资率及相应的消费率。分析表明，实现充分就业目标的投资率高低取决于经济自然增长率和技术上可行的投资生产率，但主要取决于后者由于不同经济组织具有不同的投资生产率，估算结果表明，更高效率的个体、外资等经济成分在国民经济中比重提高，会内在要求投资率下降，收敛于18％-25％区间内。在当前我国所有制结构下，合理投资率或储蓄率不应该超过32．4％，相应地，消费率不应低于67．6％。
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| 关 键 词： | 充分就业 投资生产率 投资率 消费率 经济增长 |
| 文章编号： | 1002-9753(2005)07-0076-07 |
| 收稿时间： | 2005-01-15 |
| 修稿时间： | 2005年1月15日 |
Determination of the Reasonable Capital Formation Rate in Chinese Economic Growth |
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| Qiao WeiGuo;Pan BiSheng.Determination of the Reasonable Capital Formation Rate in Chinese Economic Growth[J].China Soft Science,2005(7):76-82. |
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| Authors: | Qiao WeiGuo;Pan BiSheng |
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| Abstract: | To the problem of high capital formation rate and low consumption rate, this paper builds a reasonable capital formation rate model that will certainly realize the target of full employment, and then, using the model, it estimates the reasonable capital formation rate and the corresponding consumption rate in China. As the analysis shows, the technical feasible investment productivity and the natural economic growth rate are determined the capital formation rate that realize the full employment, but mainly depend on the latter. Because of different economic groups have different investment productivity, the estimation shows that, the increase of private, foreign investment and other economic components with more efficiency in national economy will internally need to decrease the capital formation rate to 18% -25%. In the current national ownership structure, the reasonable capital formation rate or savings rate should not over 32.4% , accordingly, the consumption rate should not below 67.6%. |
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| Keywords: | full employment investment productivity capital formation rate consumption rate economic growth |
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