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六盘水市120紧急救援发生起数的区间估计和假设检验
引用本文:张忠群.六盘水市120紧急救援发生起数的区间估计和假设检验[J].六盘水师范高等专科学校学报,2008,20(3):37-40.
作者姓名:张忠群
作者单位:六盘水师范高等专科学校数学系,贵州,水城,553004
摘    要:在分析事故发生的概率规律的基础上,可在一定的置信水平上,对我市120紧急救援中心救援起教进行区间估计和假设检验,通过区间估计将未来造成人员伤亡的事故形势预测为一个置信区间,通过假设检验可排除随机干扰,确定事故发生起教的变化规律,为紧急救援中心制定事故应急规划等提供科学的数量依据.

关 键 词:紧急救援  事故  指数分布  区间估计  假设检验

Time-scale Estimate and Hypothesis Inspection of Medical Emergency Occurrence in Liupanshui City
ZHANG Zhong-qun.Time-scale Estimate and Hypothesis Inspection of Medical Emergency Occurrence in Liupanshui City[J].Journal of Liupanshui Teachers College,2008,20(3):37-40.
Authors:ZHANG Zhong-qun
Institution:ZHANG Zhong-qun
Abstract:This paper provides scientific quantity basis for the urgent measures made by medical emergency center.The author analyses the probability law of emergency occurrence,and carries out time-scale estimate and hypothesis inspection on the quantity of medical emergency help on certain believable level.The coming casualties' features are calculated as a beliveable scale through time-scale estimate,stochastic disruption is removed through hypothesis inspection and the regular pattern is determined.
Keywords:medical emergency help  accidents  index distribution  time-scale estimate  hypothesis inspection
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