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技术追赶背景下的中外技术学习及竞争博弈——以我国大型风力发电机制造产业为例
引用本文:徐雨森.技术追赶背景下的中外技术学习及竞争博弈——以我国大型风力发电机制造产业为例[J].预测,2011,30(4).
作者姓名:徐雨森
作者单位:大连理工大学管理学院,辽宁大连,116023
基金项目:国家自然科学基金,国家自然科学基金重点资助项目
摘    要:后发国家技术追赶历程可以描述为追赶企业、领先企业及后发国家政府之间多主体、多阶段的博弈.具体过程包括"结对学习”与"结对竞争”、二次"深度学习”与"多重竞争”的两个承接阶段.本文通过构建博弈模型及我国大型风电设备制造产业的案例分析,揭示了追赶企业、领先企业如何依据二者技术势差、追赶企业的学习速度、市场机遇进行行动策略选择;也揭示了后发国家政府根据领先企业的转移意愿、领先企业之间达成技术保守联盟的情况,如何适时调整产业政策.

关 键 词:技术追赶  技术学习  博弈分析

Research on Sino-foreign Technology Learning and Competition Game in Catch-up Stage: Case Study of Large-scale Wind Power Equipment Manufacture Industry in China
XU Yu-sen.Research on Sino-foreign Technology Learning and Competition Game in Catch-up Stage: Case Study of Large-scale Wind Power Equipment Manufacture Industry in China[J].Forecasting,2011,30(4).
Authors:XU Yu-sen
Institution:XU Yu-sen (School of Management,Dalian University of Technology,Dalian 116023,China)
Abstract:The progress of developing country industry 's technological catch-up is multi-stage game among catch-up enterprises,leading enterprises and the government of developing country.The process of game is divided into two consecutive phases of learning in a group and completing in a group,as well as deep learning and multiple completing.Through constructing game models and analyzing evolution progress of large-scale wind power equipment manufacture industry in China,it reveals under the guidance of the governme...
Keywords:technologic catching-up  technologic learning  game analysis  
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