| 2018赛季亚足联冠军联赛攻防关键指标分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 何文蕙.2018赛季亚足联冠军联赛攻防关键指标分析[J].吉林体育学院学报,2020(1):67-71. |
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| 作者姓名： | 何文蕙 |
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| 作者单位： | 吉林体育学院 |
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| 基金项目： | 吉林体育学院研究生科研创新基金项目(YC2019004)。 |
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| 摘 要： | 对2018赛季亚足联冠军联赛比赛的攻防关键指标进行数理统计分析,探寻比赛中不同类别参赛球队的特征,分析面对不同比赛阶段的关键攻防技战术。研究样本由32支球队252场比赛19个指标组成。通过Q型聚类分析法将参赛球队分为3类,结论表明:1)聚类1的球队进攻能力强,侧重与边路进攻,防守能力较弱,聚类2球队攻守能力平衡,以地面传控为主,聚类3球队以传控为主,但表现出“锋无力”;2)比赛胜负分别与总射门次数(r=0.025)、射正球门次数(r=0.151)、直塞球(r=0.037)、任意球(r=0.030)、犯规(r=0.033)、传中成功率(r=0.066)具有高度相关性;3)高控球率相对于中控球率和低控球率在大部分指标上都具有显著性差异;4)面对进入淘汰赛的球队时,抢断、控球率、传中成功率、射门成功率与获胜概率存在着显著性的正相关,面对未进入淘汰赛球队时,传球成功率和射门成功率与获胜概率存在着显著性的正相关。
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| 关 键 词： | 亚冠联赛 攻防指标 技战术分析 制胜指标 |
Analysis on Key Indicators of Offense And Defense in the 2018 Asian Football Confederation Champions League |
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| HE Wen-hui.Analysis on Key Indicators of Offense And Defense in the 2018 Asian Football Confederation Champions League[J].Journal of Jilin Institute of Physical Education,2020(1):67-71. |
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| Authors: | HE Wen-hui |
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| Institution: | (Jilin Sport University,Changchun 130022,China) |
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| Abstract: | This paper analyzed the key indexes of offense and defense in the Asian football confederation champions league in 2018 by mathematical statistics,explored the characteristics of different teams and analyzed the key offense and defense tactics in different stages of the competition.The study sample consisted of 32 teams playing 252 games and 19 metrics.The Q cluster analysis method was used to divide the participating teams into three categories,and the conclusion showed that(1)the teams in cluster 1 had strong offensive ability,focused on attacking with the side,and weak defensive ability.(2)the results of the match were highly significant with the total number of shots(r=0.025),the number of shots on target(r=0.151),the straight shot(r=0.037),the free-kick(r=0.030),the fouls(r=0.033)and the success rate of crosses(r=0.066).(3)there are significant differences between high ball control rate and low ball control rate in most indicators;(4)there was a significant positive correlation between the success rate of tackling,possession rate,cross rate and shot rate and the probability of winning against the team entering the knockout stage,while there was a significant positive correlation between the success rate of passing and shot rate and the probability of winning against the team not entering the knockout stage. |
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| Keywords: | asian champions league offensive and defensive indicators technical and tactical analysis the winning indicators |
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