| 后危机时代国际货币政策对我国外贸影响研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 余佳能.后危机时代国际货币政策对我国外贸影响研究[J].浙江工贸职业技术学院学报,2016(1):92-95. |
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| 作者姓名： | 余佳能 |
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| 作者单位： | 浙江工商大学 经济学院,浙江杭州,310018 |
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| 摘 要： | 近年来，为应对美国次贷危机演变而来的经济危机所带来的负面影响，主要发达国家相继采取量化宽松货币政策稳定和刺激经济，对我国外贸产生显著影响。基于此，本文在后危机时代国际货币政策与对外贸易趋同走势分析的基础上，阐释国际货币政策对国际贸易传导机理，采取VAR模型及脉冲响应函数进行实证分析。研究得知后危机时代国际货币政策对我国外贸存在一定滞后影响，在货币供应量、国内生产总值、外汇储备三方面体现尤为明显。最后在宏观政策调节、外贸结构改革、外汇储备利用等方面提出了政策建议。
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| 关 键 词： | 后危机时代 国际货币政策 VAR模型 脉冲响应 |
A Research on the Effects of International Monetary Policy on China's Foreign Trade in the Post-crisis Era |
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| Abstract: | In recent years, in response to the negative impact of the economic crisis evolved from subprime mortgage crisis, the main developed countries have taken quantitative easing monetary policy to stabilize and stimulate the economy, which brought a significant impact on China's foreign trade. Based on this, this article makes a convergence trend analysis between in the international monetary policy and foreign trade in post-crisis era, then explains the conduction mechanism of the international monetary policy to in-ternational trade, so as to take the VAR model and impulse response function to carry on the empirical analysis. We find that the inter-national monetary policy have a certain influence on our foreign trade in the post-crisis, especially in the money supply, GDP and for-eign currency reserves. Finally we put forward policy recommendations in the adjustment of macro policy, structural reform of foreign trade, the use of foreign exchange reserves etc. |
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| Keywords: | the post-crisis era international monetary policy VAR model impulse response |
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