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| 弹性职能训练费用与其成效率之最佳预测模式 | |
| 引用本文： | 张水清,杨凯筑,陈禹承,李皇庆,廖欣琪,廖羽萱.弹性职能训练费用与其成效率之最佳预测模式[J].武汉职业技术学院学报,2012,11(3):9-14. |
| 作者姓名： | 张水清 杨凯筑 陈禹承 李皇庆 廖欣琪 廖羽萱 |
| 作者单位： | 1. 侨光科技大学资管系,台湾台中40721 2. 台中科技学院资管系,台湾台中40721 3. 勤益科技大学资管系,台湾台中40721 4. 亚洲科技大学资管系,台湾台中40721 5. 华夏技术学院,台湾新北235 |
| 摘 要： | 因应产业外移导致结构性的失业,失业者更需要投资职能训练增加其就业率。金融风暴的来临,失业率攀高,行政当局投资大量训练费用予职训主管机构提供训练课程,但是成效与否与投资成本之间确切关系必须有一准确计算公式,使失业者及行政当局能在有限投资成本下提高就业率,故本论文研究弹性职能训练费用与成效率之最佳预测模式。配合信息科技之到来,弹性职能训练费用与其成效率之计算公式,未来可输入在民间及行政当局与职训业者计算机应用程序中,作为控制成本找出最大的就业率。 |
| 关 键 词： | 失业率 逻辑斯回归模式 马可夫链 |
Optimal Prediction Model of Employed Rate and Elastic Training Cost |
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| Institution: | ZHANG Shui-ching1,YANG Kai-jhu2,CHEN Yu-cheng3,LI Huang-ching4,LIAO Hsi-chi4,LIAO Yu-hsuan5(1.Dept.of Information Management,Overseas Chinese University,Taichung40721,China;2.Dept.of Information Management,National Taichung Institute of Technology,Taichung40721,China;3.Dept.of Information Management,National Chin-Yi University of Technology,Taichung40721,China;4.Dept of Computer Science & Information,Engineering of Asia University,Taichung40721,China;5.Hwa Hsia Institute of Technology,Xinbei235,China) |
| Abstract: | Due to structural unemployment,the unemployed need to take more skills training to increase their employment opportunity.The government has invested a large sum of training fund in the VTC to provide training courses,but an accurate formula is needed to estimate the ratio of cost and benefit of the investment.This paper sets out to work out an optimal prediction model maximizing employment rate under flexible training cost.In this study,we use logistic regression model to predict employment rate,and the training cost is an important independent variable.We also consider the training period as another control variable.It is expected that the prediction model will be used by the authority and civil organizations to work out ways to maximize employment rate under flexible training costs. |
| Keywords: | unemployment rate Logistic Regression Model Markov Chain |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 万方数据 等数据库收录！ | |