| 中国居民高储蓄率测算与结构突变实证分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 耿庆峰,李文.中国居民高储蓄率测算与结构突变实证分析[J].闽江学院学报,2014,35(4):24-34. |
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| 作者姓名： | 耿庆峰 李文 |
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| 作者单位： | 闽江学院公共经济学与金融学系,福建福州,350121 |
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| 基金项目： | 2013年闽江学院科研启动项目 |
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| 摘 要： | 中国居民高储蓄率现象已引起各界的广泛关注。在对储蓄率相关问题的研究进行综述的基础上,根据1953-2009年间的居民储蓄率数据,对居民储蓄率序列本身的随机过程进行了测算,同时对其进行了平稳性和结构突变的检验,发现中国居民储蓄率序列是一个“含有水平、斜率双突变的退势平稳过程”,证明了结构突变点的存在性。
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| 关 键 词： | 居民储蓄率 测算 结构突变 实证分析 |
Calculation and Empirical Analysis on Structure Change of Household High Savings in China |
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| GENG Qing-feng,LI Wen.Calculation and Empirical Analysis on Structure Change of Household High Savings in China[J].Journal of Minjiang University,2014,35(4):24-34. |
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| Authors: | GENG Qing-feng LI Wen |
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| Institution: | (Public Economies and Finance Department of Minjiang University, Fuzhou Fujian 350121 ) |
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| Abstract: | Household high savings rate in China has attracted widespread attention from all walksof life. Based on the review of the study on related problems of savings rate, this paper calculates therandom process of household savings rate series based on the macro savings rate data from 1953 -2009, at the same time, the balance and the structure change have been examined. This paper pointsout that the savings rate series is a ＂containing the level, slope of double changes back stationaryprocess＂, the existence of structural change has been proved. |
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| Keywords: | household saving rate measure and calculate structural change empirical analysis |
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