| 基于着色Petri网的TOT风险评估仿真模型 |
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| 引用本文： | 沈俊鑫,王松江.基于着色Petri网的TOT风险评估仿真模型[J].科技管理研究,2012,32(8):30-33. |
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| 作者姓名： | 沈俊鑫 王松江 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 昆明理工大学管理与经济学院,云南昆明650093;云南财经大学信息学院,云南昆明650221
2. 昆明理工大学管理与经济学院,云南昆明,650093 |
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| 摘 要： | 在归纳TOT项目风险测量变量对TOT特许期决策因素影响过程的基础上,构建基于着色Petri网的TOT特许期风险评估模型,引入颜色集区分风险测量变量,在给定风险因素概率分布基础上,通过计算机仿真的方法,得出TOT特许期决策因素受风险测量变量的影响概率分布,由此对TOT项目风险进行评估。
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| 关 键 词： | TOT特许期 风险评估 着色Petri网 计算机仿真 |
A Simulation Model of TOT Risk Assessment Based on Colored Petri Net |
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| SHEN Junxin
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WANG Songjiang.A Simulation Model of TOT Risk Assessment Based on Colored Petri Net[J].Science and Technology Management Research,2012,32(8):30-33. |
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| Authors: | SHEN Junxin WANG Songjiang |
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| Institution: | 1(1.School of Management and Economics,Kunming University of Science and Technology,Kunming 650093,China; 2.School of Information,Yunnan University of Finance and Economics,Kunming 650221,China) |
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| Abstract: | This article summarized how risk measurement variables influence decision variables of TOT concession period,and then builds a risk assessment model of TOT concession period by using color set to distinguish risk measurement variable.This article concludes the probability distribution of TOT concession period decision variables,and gives a new method to TOT risk assessment. |
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| Keywords: | TOT concession period risk assessment colored petri net(CPN) computer simulation |
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