| 颠覆性技术遴选的指标体系与流程设计——基于扎根理论的多案例研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 冯倩倩,张光宇,戴海闻,刘贻新.颠覆性技术遴选的指标体系与流程设计——基于扎根理论的多案例研究[J].科技管理研究,2021,41(24):50-59. |
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| 作者姓名： | 冯倩倩 张光宇 戴海闻 刘贻新 |
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| 作者单位： | 广东工业大学管理学院,广东广州 510520;广东工业大学创新理论与创新管理研究中心,广东广州 510520;广东工业大学管理学院,广东广州 510520;广东工贸职业技术学院,广东广州 510510 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金面上项目“颠覆性创新的技术演进特征与市场扩散路径研究：价值创造视角”（72074056）、“保护空间驱动新技术产业化的运作机制和效应评价：可持续转型视角”（71874037）;“广州市建设国家级科技思想库研究课题专项”粤港澳大湾区研发联盟关系多元化对企业颠覆性创新绩效的影响研究（SXK20210101040） |
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| 摘 要： | 针对目前颠覆性技术评价标准和评审流程系统性研究不足,基于国内外颠覆性技术遴选研究,选取我国科技部主办的全国颠覆性技术创新大赛为主案例,辅以其他颠覆性创新相关赛事、新型人才评价、新型职称评定机制及诺贝尔奖评审机制等6个案例交叉验证,运用程序化扎根理论分析得到111个概念、25个子范畴和8个主范畴,据此设计先质后量的评审原则,设置前期准备、初评、再评和现场评议的遴选流程.其中,在质的判断方面,运用德尔菲调查法,依靠专家直觉对项目是否具有颠覆性进行初步判断;在量的判断方面,邀请专家从技术颠覆、产业变革、经济价值、社会影响这4个维度进行打分,通过加权评分最终计算出各项目综合评分,层层递进以完成颠覆性技术的遴选.为增强颠覆性技术遴选方法的系统性以及各级政府和相关部门决策提供参考.
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| 关 键 词： | 颠覆性技术 技术遴选 扎根理论 多案例研究 |
| 收稿时间： | 2021/9/23 0:00:00 |
| 修稿时间： | 2021/12/27 0:00:00 |
Index System and Process Design of Disruptive Technology Selection:A Multi-case Research Based on Grounded Theory |
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| Feng Qianqian,Zhang Guangyu,Dai Haiwen,Liu Yixin.Index System and Process Design of Disruptive Technology Selection:A Multi-case Research Based on Grounded Theory[J].Science and Technology Management Research,2021,41(24):50-59. |
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| Authors: | Feng Qianqian Zhang Guangyu Dai Haiwen Liu Yixin |
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| Abstract: | Based on a multi-case research on the selection of disruptive technology ranging from the domestic and international, the paper analyzes the text data by using the procedural grounded theory, which designs the index system and process for the selection of disruptive technology, so as to make up for the shortcomings of the existing expert evaluation system. The evaluation principle of before and the evaluation process of preliminary preparation, initial evaluation, re-evaluation and on-site evaluation is set up. In the aspect of "essential judgment", Delphi method is used to make a preliminary judgment on whether a project is disruptive or not, relying on the expert intuition. In the aspect of "quantity judgment", experts are invited to score from four dimensions: technical disruptive, industrial change, economic value and social influence, and the comprehensive scores of each project are finally calculated through weighted scores, so as to complete the selection of disruptive technology step by step. |
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| Keywords: | disruptive technology technology selection grounded theory multi-case research |
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