| 经济增长中预算外非税支出的长期效应分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 蒋永志,王小利.经济增长中预算外非税支出的长期效应分析[J].预测,2005,24(6):56-60. |
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| 作者姓名： | 蒋永志 王小利 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 西安交通大学,经济与金融学院,陕西,西安,710061
2. 包钢(集团)企业战略研究室,内蒙古,包头,014010 |
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| 摘 要： | 本文利用VAR模型,系统地分析了政府预算外非税支出、购买支出、基建支出与经济增长的短期调整及长期均衡关系。通过分析我们认为政府预算外非税支出、政府购买支出对经济增长的长期影响为正,政府基建支出对经济增长无显著影响。
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| 关 键 词： | 政府预算外非税支出 GDP 向量自回归模型(VAR) |
| 文章编号： | 1003-5192（2005）06-0056-05 |
| 收稿时间： | 2005-01-25 |
| 修稿时间： | 2005-01-25 |
An Empirical Analysis of Long-run Effect of Non-tax Revenue for Economic Growth |
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| JIANG Yong-zhi,WANG Xiao-li.An Empirical Analysis of Long-run Effect of Non-tax Revenue for Economic Growth[J].Forecasting,2005,24(6):56-60. |
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| Authors: | JIANG Yong-zhi WANG Xiao-li |
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| Abstract: | Using VAR model this paper investigates the existence of a long-run relationship between government non-tax revenue and economic growth,the mutual effects among non-tax revenue,government expenditure,public investment and GDP.The analysis indicates that the use of those revenue and the consumption expenditure by the government have a positive long-run effect over the economic growth while public investment does not bear perceivable effect. |
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| Keywords: | government non-tax revenue GDP VAR |
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