| 基于灰色GM（1,1）模型的图书馆采购预测研究 |
| |
| 引用本文： | 开滨.基于灰色GM（1,1）模型的图书馆采购预测研究[J].情报探索,2014(12):91-93. |
| |
| 作者姓名： | 开滨 |
| |
| 作者单位： | 山东女子学院图书馆 山东济南 250300 |
| |
| 摘 要： | 以山东女子学院图书馆为例,利用灰色GM（1,1）理论,将2009-2013年该馆8类图书的采购量统计数据作为样本数据,建立了图书馆图书采购模型,经过后验差检验该模型精确度符合要求。然后利用该模型对2013年及未来3年8类图书的采购量进行了预测,结果发现：学校学科结构控制会影响图书采购量;学校重点学科及新上本科专业相关图书应加大采购。
|
| 关 键 词： | 灰色GM(1 1)模型 图书馆 采购 预测 |
Research on Gray GM (1,1) Model-based Library's Acquisition Forecast |
| |
| Kai Bin.Research on Gray GM (1,1) Model-based Library's Acquisition Forecast[J].Information Research,2014(12):91-93. |
| |
| Authors: | Kai Bin |
| |
| Institution: | Kai Bin ( Shandong Women＇s University Library, Jinan Shandong 250300 ) |
| |
| Abstract: | The paper takes Shandong Women＇s University library for example, uses the grey GM（1,1） theory and statistical data of eight categories of book acquisition from 2009 to 2013 as sample data, to establish the library book acquisition model, this model meets the requirements by the after test rule. Then the paper uses the model to predict the amount of eight categories of book acquisition in2013 and the next 3 years, finds that school＇s control of subject structure can affect the amount of book acquisition; and that book acquisition of school＇s key subjects and new undergraduate majors should be increased. |
| |
| Keywords: | Gray GM（1 1） Model library purchasing forecast |
| 本文献已被 维普 万方数据 等数据库收录！ |
|
