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脆弱的权威: 对体育专家调查研究方法的思考
引用本文:李留东.脆弱的权威: 对体育专家调查研究方法的思考[J].天津体育学院学报,2006,21(4):339-341.
作者姓名:李留东
作者单位:温州大学,体育学院,温州,325035
摘    要:专家调查是体育科学研究中常用的方法之一,研究者往往基于专家的权威性,而忽视专家知识体系中的不确定性因素。针对现有不确定推理模型,结合专家知识不确定性在产生式规则系统中的体现,归纳出一种更接近体育专家处理不确定性和方便研究者理解与构造实例模型的不确定推理模型框架,以供体育专家及研究者斟酌。

关 键 词:体育专家系统  不确定推理  产生式规则  模糊推理
文章编号:1005-0000(2006)04-0339-03
收稿时间:2006-04-21
修稿时间:2006-04-212006-06-05

Weak Authoritativeness: the Thinking on the Investigation Research Method to Sports Experts
LI Liu-dong.Weak Authoritativeness: the Thinking on the Investigation Research Method to Sports Experts[J].Journal of Tianjin Institute of Physical Education,2006,21(4):339-341.
Authors:LI Liu-dong
Institution:School of PE, Wenzhou University, Wenzhou 325035, China
Abstract:The method of Delphi was one of the methods that often can be used in sport science research.Researchers overlooked the uncertainty of expert knowledge because of the expert's authoritativeness.The author induced a kind of uncertain reasoning model that facilitated the sports experts and the researchers to handle the uncertainty and to construct the example models,on the basis of the existing uncertain reasoning models and the embodies that arise from the uncertainty of expert knowledge in the produce type rule system.
Keywords:sports experts system  uncertain reasoning  the production rule  fuzzy reasoning
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