| 基于教育经费的人均可支配收入分析与预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 安景文,倪源.基于教育经费的人均可支配收入分析与预测[J].六安师专学报,2013(2):24-28. |
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| 作者姓名： | 安景文 倪源 |
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| 作者单位： | 中国矿业大学北京管理学院,北京100083 |
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| 摘 要： | 选取1992-2010年全国教育经费数据和2001-2011年城镇居民人均可支配收入数据，通过计量经济学分析建立两者动态回归模型，以此探究国家教育经费对人均可支配收入的影响。运用实证分析对人均可支配收入走势进行预测，得到了关于人均可支配收入波动趋势、周期、异动的相关结论。人均可支配收入在“十二五”期间仍将保持上涨趋势，其增长率波动周期大致为5年。
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| 关 键 词： | 教育经费 人均可支配收入 回归分析 |
Analysis and Forecast of Per Capita Disposable Income Based on the Education Funding |
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| Authors: | AN Jing-wen NI Yuan |
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| Institution: | (School of Management, China University Of Mining Technology, Beijing 100083, China) |
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| Abstract: | This paper chooses the educational expenditure date from 1992 to 2010 and the urban disposable income data from 2001 to 2011, using econometric analysis to form a log-linear regression model between the two factors, in order to investigate the effects of the educational expenditure on the urban disposable income. By using the empirical analysis method to predict the trend of the per capita disposable income, we got some conclusions about the fluctuation trend, cycle time, and erratic moves of per capita disposable income. This article suggests that the per capita disposable income will continue to rise during the twelfth fiveyear, and the growth rate will fluctuate by the predicted period of five years. |
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| Keywords: | education funding per capita disposable income regression analysis forecasting |
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