| 国际干散货航运市场影响因素及规律 |
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| 引用本文： | 李瑞华,宋炳良.国际干散货航运市场影响因素及规律[J].上海海事大学学报,2015,36(3):35-39. |
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| 作者姓名： | 李瑞华 宋炳良 |
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| 作者单位： | 上海海事大学经济管理学院,上海海事大学经济管理学院 |
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| 基金项目： | 教育部高等学校博士学科点专项科研基金（20113121110003） |
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| 摘 要： | 鉴于国际干散货航运市场的供求均衡关系及规律对市场预测和风险规避有积极的作用,运用经济周期理论,根据一系列主要衡量指标,探究引起国际干散货市场供求波动的因素,如全球经济发展、石油价格波动、钢铁产业发展、国家政策法规、自然原因等.在此基础上得出市场发展的内部波动性和周期性规律.根据对航运市场规律的分析,结合影响因素和未来发展趋势,对干散货运输企业和其他相关企业提出具有建设性的意见.
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| 关 键 词： | 干散货航运 波罗的海干散货指数（BDI） 供求关系 市场均衡 |
| 收稿时间： | 2015/1/15 0:00:00 |
| 修稿时间： | 6/9/2015 12:00:00 AM |
Influencing factors and law of international dry bulk shipping market |
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| LI RUIHUA and SONG BINGLIANG.Influencing factors and law of international dry bulk shipping market[J].Journal of Shanghai Maritime University,2015,36(3):35-39. |
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| Authors: | LI RUIHUA and SONG BINGLIANG |
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| Abstract: | The positive effects of the supply demand equilibrium relationship and the law of the international dry bulk shipping market on market forecasting and risk avoidance are considered. According to a series of main measurement indices, the factors causing the supply demand fluctuation of the market are explored by the business cycle theory, such as global economic growth, oil price fluctuation, iron and steel industry development, national policy and law, and natural reasons. Based on this, the internal fluctuant and periodic laws of the market development are obtained. Based on the analysis of the shipping market law, with a combination of influencing factors and development trend, some constructive suggestions are given for dry bulk shipping enterprises and other related companies. |
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| Keywords: | dry bulk shipping Baltic Dry Index (BDI) supply demand relationship market equilibrium |
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