| 中国交通运输与区域经济发展因果关系的实证研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 刘秉镰,赵金涛.中国交通运输与区域经济发展因果关系的实证研究[J].中国软科学,2005(6):101-106. |
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| 作者姓名： | 刘秉镰 赵金涛 |
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| 作者单位： | 南开大学,城市与区域经济研究所,天津,300071 |
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| 摘 要： | 文章首先总结并评述了当前交通运输与区域经济发展的三种因果关系，然后利用Granger因果检验方法，检验了我国东中西部地区和30个省份交通运输发展(交通运输网络密度)与区域经济发展的三个重要变量(国内生产总值、工业化、城市化)之间的Granger因果关系。最后在实证分析的基础上，提出我国区域交通运输发展的对策与建议。
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| 关 键 词： | 交通运输 区域经济 Granger因果检验 |
| 文章编号： | 1002-9753(2005)06-0101-06 |
| 修稿时间： | 2005年4月26日 |
Empirical Study on Causality between Transportation and Regional Economic Development in China |
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| LIU Bing-lian,ZHAO Jin-tao.Empirical Study on Causality between Transportation and Regional Economic Development in China[J].China Soft Science,2005(6):101-106. |
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| Authors: | LIU Bing-lian ZHAO Jin-tao |
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| Abstract: | paper summarizes and comments on three kinds of causality between transportation and regional economic development. Then it uses Granger causality test to testify Granger causality between transportation development(density of transportation network)and three important variables of regional economic development(GDP, Urbanization, Industrialization) with the statistic data of East, Middle, West regions and 30 provinces of China. At last, we present some suggestions on china regional transportation development according to the conclusions of empirical study. |
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| Keywords: | transportation regional economy Granger causality test |
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