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长江水质的评价与预测模型
引用本文:邢红卫,程抒曼,余小艳.长江水质的评价与预测模型[J].内江师范学院学报,2006,21(6):32-34.
作者姓名:邢红卫  程抒曼  余小艳
作者单位:内江师范学院,数学系,四川,内江,641112
摘    要:讨论了长江水质的评价与预测问题,分析过去10年主要统计数据,分别用指数法,优化模型,二阶线性差分方程模型,对长江水质进行了评价与预测.同时也就长江水质污染问题提出了可行的建议与意见,最后对预测结果进行了误差分析,并对模型进行了评价与推广.

关 键 词:长江  水质  评价与预测  指数法  优化模型  差分方程
文章编号:1671-1785(2006)06-0032-03
收稿时间:2006-03-08

Appraisal and Forecast Models of Water Quality of Yangtze River
XING Hong-wei,CHENG Shu-man,YU Xiao-yan.Appraisal and Forecast Models of Water Quality of Yangtze River[J].Journal of Neijiang Teachers College,2006,21(6):32-34.
Authors:XING Hong-wei  CHENG Shu-man  YU Xiao-yan
Abstract:The appraisal and forecast problem of water quality of Yangtze River are discussed. The main statistical data of the past decade was analyzed. The exponential method, optimal model, two order linear difference equation model were utilized, and the appraisal and forecast to the water quality of Yangtze River were carried out. Some feasible proposal and opinions about the water pollution problem Yangtze River were put forward. Finally the error analysis of the forecast results , some appraisals and promotion of the model were carried on.
Keywords:Yangtze River appraisal and forecast models of water quality  exponential method  optimize model  difference equation    
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