| 上海港和天津港船舶排放控制区政策的有效性分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 章强,颜凯,郑中琪.上海港和天津港船舶排放控制区政策的有效性分析[J].上海海事大学学报,2021,42(1):63-70. |
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| 作者姓名： | 章强 颜凯 郑中琪 |
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| 作者单位： | 上海海事大学交通运输学院,上海海事大学交通运输学院,上海海事大学交通运输学院 |
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| 基金项目： | 上海市“科技创新行动计划”软科学重点项目（20692107600）；上海市教育发展基金会和上海市教育委员会“晨光计划”资助项目（19CG55） |
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| 摘 要： | 为研究船舶排放控制区政策在我国的有效性,采用政策效应评估领域的断点回归分析方法,对上海港和天津港船舶排放控制区政策的实施效果展开研究。研究发现,在上海港和天津港实施船舶排放控制区政策均能够有效降低所在城市空气中二氧化硫的日均质量浓度,进而改善区域空气质量。该政策在我国不同区域也表现出较好的普遍适用性。
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| 关 键 词： | 船舶排放控制区政策 政策有效性 断点回归 |
| 收稿时间： | 2020/6/7 0:00:00 |
| 修稿时间： | 2020/7/13 0:00:00 |
Effectiveness analysis on ship emission control area policy of Shanghai Port and Tianjin Port |
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| ZHANG Qiang,YAN Kai,ZHENG Zhongqi.Effectiveness analysis on ship emission control area policy of Shanghai Port and Tianjin Port[J].Journal of Shanghai Maritime University,2021,42(1):63-70. |
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| Authors: | ZHANG Qiang YAN Kai ZHENG Zhongqi |
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| Institution: | SHANGHAI MARITIME UNIVERSITY SCHOOL OF TRANSPORT & COMMUNICATIONS and SHANGHAI MARITIME UNIVERSITY SCHOOL OF TRANSPORT & COMMUNICATIONS |
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| Abstract: | In order to study the effectiveness of the ship emission control area (ECA) policy in China, the regression discontinuity analysis method in the field of policy effect evaluation is adopted to evaluate the implementation effect of the ECA policy in Shanghai Port and Tianjin Port, respectively. The results show that,the implementation of the ECA policy in Shanghai Port and Tianjin Port can effectively reduce the daily average mass concentration of sulfur dioxide in the air of Shanghai and Tianjin, and improve the regional air quality. The ECA policy shows good general applicability in different regions in China. |
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| Keywords: | ship emission control area policy policy effectiveness regression discontinuity |
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