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A Gentle Introduction to Bayesian Analysis: Applications to Developmental Research
Authors:Rens van de Schoot  David Kaplan  Jaap Denissen  Jens B Asendorpf  Franz J Neyer  Marcel AG van Aken
Institution:1. Utrecht University;2. North‐West University;3. University of Wisconsin–Madison;4. University of Tilburg;5. Humboldt‐University Berlin;6. Friedrich Schiller University of Jena
Abstract:Bayesian statistical methods are becoming ever more popular in applied and fundamental research. In this study a gentle introduction to Bayesian analysis is provided. It is shown under what circumstances it is attractive to use Bayesian estimation, and how to interpret properly the results. First, the ingredients underlying Bayesian methods are introduced using a simplified example. Thereafter, the advantages and pitfalls of the specification of prior knowledge are discussed. To illustrate Bayesian methods explained in this study, in a second example a series of studies that examine the theoretical framework of dynamic interactionism are considered. In the Discussion the advantages and disadvantages of using Bayesian statistics are reviewed, and guidelines on how to report on Bayesian statistics are provided.
Keywords:
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