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咸阳市耕地资源与粮食生产动态分析预测
引用本文:杜忠潮.咸阳市耕地资源与粮食生产动态分析预测[J].咸阳师范学院学报,2000(3).
作者姓名:杜忠潮
作者单位:咸阳师范专科学校地理学系!陕西咸阳712000
摘    要::在剖析咸阳市粮食生产条件与耕地资源利用特点的基础上 ,分别采用单元回归与自然增长法建模预测 2 0 1 0、2 0 30年该市耕地资源、粮食生产能力及人口的变化趋势 ,并以人均耕地面积和人均粮食占有量为指标 ,分析了全市及各县 (区 )不同年份的生活水准及人口承载力状况。提出了合理开发利用耕地资源 ,积极发展农业生产的对策

关 键 词:咸阳  耕地资源  粮食生产  动态分析  对策

The Forecastig is Analyzed to Xianyang City Cultivated Land Resources and Grain Production Trends
Du Zhongchao.The Forecastig is Analyzed to Xianyang City Cultivated Land Resources and Grain Production Trends[J].Journal of Xianyang Normal University,2000(3).
Authors:Du Zhongchao
Abstract:Using respectively the exponential regressino and naturally the increase law to build the forecasting of model in 2010 and 2030 the city cultivated land resources, grain production capacity and the change tendency of population on the foundation that the city of Xianyang girin production and the cultivated land resources utilization features is analyzed, and is the quota by capitation the owning quantity of grain, having analyzed full city and each county life standards of different particular years and bearing capacity of population. Having put forward the reasonably makes use of the cultivated land resources, and positively develops the countermeasure of agriculture production.
Keywords:Xianyang city  cultivated land resources  grain production  trending forecaste  the countermeasure
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