| 高等教育升学率的时序分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 金子元久,刘文君.高等教育升学率的时序分析[J].教育与经济,2006(3):6-14,23. |
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| 作者姓名： | 金子元久 刘文君 |
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| 作者单位： | 东京大学,大学院教育学研究科,日本,东京 |
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| 摘 要： | 日本高等教育升学率在20世纪50年代的微増之后,从60年代到70年代中期急剧增加,随后转为停滞趋势。这样的升学率的长期变化是由怎样的机制所规定的呢?以往的相关研究对教育需求的变化所进行的阐释可归纳为三种假设:(1)显示效果假设,(2)期待收益假设,(3)家计所得假设。本文通过理论与实证分析,对以上假设的有效性进行了验证。
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| 关 键 词： | 高等教育 升学率 时序分析 |
| 文章编号： | 1003-4870（2006）03-0006-10 |
| 收稿时间： | 05 22 2006 12:00AM |
| 修稿时间： | 2006-05-22 |
Time Series Analysis of Enrollment Rate in Higher Education |
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| KANEKO Motohisa,LIU Wen-jun.Time Series Analysis of Enrollment Rate in Higher Education[J].Education & Economy,2006(3):6-14,23. |
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| Authors: | KANEKO Motohisa LIU Wen-jun |
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| Institution: | Tokyo University, Tokyo Japan |
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| Abstract: | The enrollment rate of higher education in Japan,which increased slowly in the 1950s and then rapidly in the 1960s and the first half of the 1970s,has since been stagnating.What are the determinants of the long-term trend? A survey of past investigation dealing with this topic reveals that there are three major hypotheses to explain the change in demand for education:(1)demonstration effect hypothesis;(2)expected return hypothesis;And (3)family income hypothesis.This paper examines the validity of these hypotheses through theoretical and empirical analysis. |
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| Keywords: | higher education enrollment rate time series analysis |
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