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具有变化潜伏期的水源性疾病模型稳定性分析
引用本文:张海娥.具有变化潜伏期的水源性疾病模型稳定性分析[J].唐山学院学报,2013(6):10-12,60.
作者姓名:张海娥
作者单位:唐山学院基础教学部,河北唐山063000
基金项目:唐山市科技计划项目(12110233b),河北省高校科技研究项目(Z2013016)
摘    要:建立了一类具有变化潜伏期的水源性疾病数学模型,得到了水源性疾病流行的阈值R0(基本再生数).利用LaSalle不变集原理,通过构造新的Liapunov函数证明了平衡点的全局稳定性:当R0≤1时,系统的无病平衡点p0是全局渐近稳定的;当R0>1时,系统的地方病平衡点p*是全局渐近稳定的.最后利用数值模拟说明结论的正确性.

关 键 词:水源性疾病  变化潜伏期  平衡点  全局渐近稳定

An Stability Analysis of the Models of Waterborne Diseases with Variable Latent Periods
ZHANG Hai-e.An Stability Analysis of the Models of Waterborne Diseases with Variable Latent Periods[J].Journal of Tangshan College,2013(6):10-12,60.
Authors:ZHANG Hai-e
Institution:ZHANG Hai-e (Department of Basic Science,Tangshan College, Tangshan 063000, China)
Abstract:The mathematical model of waterborne diseases with variable latent periods should be established in order to find out the epidemic threshold of waterborne diseases R0 (basic reproduc-tive number). By LaSalle Invariance Principle, the global stability of the equilibrium is proved by means of defining a new Liapunov function., when R0 ≤ 1, the disease-free equilibrium of the system P0 is globally asymptotically stable; when R0〉1, the endemic equilibrium of the system p ^* is globally asymptotically stable. Some numerical simulations are also carried out to prove the correctness of the conclusion.
Keywords:waterborne disease  variable latent period  equilibrium  globally asymptotically stability
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