| 基于专利挖掘的移动医疗产业技术预见 |
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| 引用本文： | 赖朝安,钱娇.基于专利挖掘的移动医疗产业技术预见[J].科研管理,2018,39(10):138-147. |
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| 作者姓名： | 赖朝安 钱娇 |
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| 作者单位： | 华南理工大学工商管理学院，广东 广州510640 |
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| 基金项目： | 广州市哲学社会科学发展“十三五”规划2018年度项目（2018GZYB16）；科技革命与技术预见智库建设项目（X2GSN4160224）；广东省自然科学基金项目（2018A030313079）。 |
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| 摘 要： | 面向新技术及其产业的技术预见方法正成为支持产业技术规划与企业研发决策的重要工具。然而，当前产业技术预见通常使用基于专家的定性方法，缺乏可靠性与客观性。定量分析方法成为产业规划及技术预见的新型工具，而专利挖掘是优先考虑的定量分析方法。本文提出基于包括专利网络与专利地图的知识图谱的新分析方法，并将其与多种专利基础分析方法集成，并结合发明问题解决理论的进化规则，形成一种基于专利知识图谱的可视化产业预见分析框架。本文结合移动医疗这一新兴产业，论述该分析框架的应用过程，分析产业竞争状况、发展轨迹与技术机遇，寻找具有发展潜力的技术方向，为广大企业的研发创新提供决策参考。据实践验证，该方法提高了技术预见与规划的效率，并提高决策的可靠性与客观性。
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| 关 键 词： | 专利挖掘 知识图谱 技术预见 移动医疗 新兴产业 |
| 收稿时间： | 2015-11-10 |
| 修稿时间： | 2017-09-14 |
Technology foresight for the mobile health industry based on patent mining |
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| Lai Chaoan,Qian Jiao.Technology foresight for the mobile health industry based on patent mining[J].Science Research Management,2018,39(10):138-147. |
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| Authors: | Lai Chaoan Qian Jiao |
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| Institution: | School of Business Administration, South China University of Technology, Guangzhou 510640, Guangdong, China |
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| Abstract: | The technology foresight method for new technologies and industries is becoming an important tool to support industrial technology planning and making decision for research and development. However, nowadays, industrial technology forecasting usually uses qualitative methods like expert analysis method, which lacking reliability and objectivity. Quantitative analysis method is a new tool for industrial planning and technology foresight, and patent mining is a priority quantitative analysis method. This paper proposes an analysis method based on a new analysis method of knowledge map with patent network and patent map, and integrated with multiple patent analysis methods and combined with TRIZ evolution rules, which form a visual industry forecasting analysis framework based on the patent knowledge map. Be aiming at mobile medical industrial, an emerging industry, this paper discourses the application of the analysis framework, and analyzes industry competition situation, development trajectory and technological opportunities, which looking for potential technical direction and provides suggestions for the research of enterprise. According to practice, this method improves the efficiency of technology foresight and planning, and improves the reliability and objectivity of decision-making. |
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| Keywords: | patent mining knowledge map technology foresight mobile health emerging industry |
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