| 2010年下半年中国价格走势分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 田秋生.2010年下半年中国价格走势分析[J].科学．经济．社会,2010,28(4):28-31,35. |
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| 作者姓名： | 田秋生 |
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| 作者单位： | 华南理工大学经济贸易学院,广东广州510006 |
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| 摘 要： | 当前推动价格上涨的因素依然存在,尤其需要注意,受全国大范围自然灾害的影响,后半年农业形势不容乐观,农产品价格上涨压力可能增大。但总的来看,后半年价格上涨压力会减弱,价格涨幅会减小。主要原因是,上半年货币政策节奏放慢、力度减弱的效应会逐步显现,产能过剩状况短期内难以改变,固定投资增速会进一步放慢,房价涨幅会出现回落,最低工资上调对价格上涨没有多大影响,输入通货膨胀的可能性不大。
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| 关 键 词： | 物价 通货膨胀 宏观经济 |
The Trend of China's General Price Level in the Second-half of 2010 |
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| TIAN Qiu-sheng.The Trend of China's General Price Level in the Second-half of 2010[J].Science Economy Society,2010,28(4):28-31,35. |
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| Authors: | TIAN Qiu-sheng |
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| Institution: | TIAN Qiu-sheng(School of Economics,South China University of Technology,Guangzhou 510006,China) |
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| Abstract: | Currently,factors driving general price level up still exist.However,on the whole,the pressure of increase in the price level will weaken in the next half of 2010.The main reasons are as follows： firstly,the effect of weaker expansionary monetary policy in the first half of the year will be gradually revealed;secondly,overcapacity situation is difficult to change in the short-term and fixed investment growth will further slow;thirdly,the rate of housing price increase will drop and the minimum wage increases will have little impact on prices;In addition,imported inflation is unlikely to occur. |
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| Keywords: | Prices Inflation Macroeconomy |
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