| 人口老龄化、城市化与中国经济增长——基于VAR模型的动态关系研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 李友得.人口老龄化、城市化与中国经济增长——基于VAR模型的动态关系研究[J].保山学院学报,2013(5):91-95. |
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| 作者姓名： | 李友得 |
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| 作者单位： | 天津职业大学社会管理系,天津300410 |
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| 摘 要： | 在柯布-道格拉斯生产函数的基础上将人口老龄化、城市化与经济增长纳入统一理论框架下进行分析,根据1980-2011年的时间序列数据对经济增长、城市化、人口老龄化、物质资本投资、人力资本投资和劳动力之间的动态关系进行计量检验发现,中国经济增长对城市化进程和人口老龄化起到了主导作用,城市化在长期内有利于经济增长,而人口老龄化表现为抑制经济增长和城市化进程的趋势.因此应协调好经济发展、城市化建设和人口老龄化之间的关系.
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| 关 键 词： | 人口老龄化 城市化 经济增长 |
A Quantitative Analysis on Interaction of Population Aging,Urbanization and Economic Growth in China |
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| Li Youde.A Quantitative Analysis on Interaction of Population Aging,Urbanization and Economic Growth in China[J].Journal of Baoshan Teachers College,2013(5):91-95. |
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| Authors: | Li Youde |
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| Institution: | Li Youde ( Department of Social Management , Tianjin Vocational University , Tianjin 300410 ) |
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| Abstract: | On the basis of cobb-Douglas product ion function into an aging population urbanization and economic growth will be unified theoretical framework for analysis,According to the 1980-2011 time series data of urbanization on economic growth population aging physical capital investment of human capital investment and Labour to measure the dynamic relationship between the inspection findings,China＇s economic growth of urbanization and population aging has played a leading role,Urbanization in the long term conducive to economic growth,And an aging population to restrain economic growth and the relationship between the economic development of trend of urbanization.So should coordinate the urbanization and population aging. |
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| Keywords: | Population Aging Urbanization Economic Growth |
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