| 中国第三产业发展对就业的影响 |
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| 引用本文： | 侯璐蝉.中国第三产业发展对就业的影响[J].顺德职业技术学院学报,2011,9(4):18-21. |
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| 作者姓名： | 侯璐蝉 |
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| 作者单位： | 华南师范大学法学院,广东广州 510006;华南师范大学经济与管理学院,广东广州510006 |
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| 摘 要： | 基于协整分析理论建立第三产业产值对该产业从业人数的影响函数,得到该产业产值每增减1%,对应从业人数增减0.322%的结论,通过应用时间序列分析方法预测中国2011～2012年第三产业产值分别为201 555.42亿元和237 556.34亿元,并由此估算相应的从业人员数量分别为29 731.04万人和31 819.81万人。
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| 关 键 词： | 中国 第三产业 从业人数 协整分析 时间序列分析 |
Influences of Tertiary Industry Development on Employment in China |
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| Authors: | HOU Lu-chan |
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| Institution: | HOU Lu-chan1,2(1.School of Law,South China Normal University,Guangzhou Guangdong 510006,China,2.School of Economics & Management,China) |
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| Abstract: | Based on the theory of co-integration,this paper builds an influence function of the development of tertiary industry on employment in China.The function shows that when the output value of the tertiary industry fluctuates 1%,the number of employees affected by it will fluctuate 0.322%.Using time series analysis,the output value of the tertiary industry is estimated to be RMB 20 155.542 billion for 2011 and RMB 23 755.634 billion for 2012.Hence,the number of employees in tertiary industry will jump to 297.3... |
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| Keywords: | China tertiary industry number of employees co-integration analysis time series analysis |
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