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技术预见对政府科技治理的影响机制研究
引用本文:李慧泉,简兆权.技术预见对政府科技治理的影响机制研究[J].科技管理研究,2022,42(1):22-28.
作者姓名:李慧泉  简兆权
作者单位:华南理工大学工商管理学院,广东广州 510641
基金项目:广东省软科学项目“技术预见对科技治理的影响研究:以广东省为例”(2019A101002012);广东省自然科学基金项目“外部知识搜寻、知识流动对服务创新的影响:大数据分析能力的调节效果”(2019A1515011526);国家自然科学基金面上项目“外部组织整合、知识获取对新服务开发绩效的影响:关系质量和吸收能力的调节作用”(71672061)
摘    要:从技术预见的形成机制入手,深入分析技术预见的参与主体和理论基础,并从技术预见价值理念转变的视角分析技术预见的形成机制,从事先预防机制、政策制定工具、边际溢出效应等三个方面探讨技术预见对科技治理的影响机制,展现技术预见作为政策工具的价值性、创新性和指导性作用.最后从科技实际需求出发开展技术预见、重视科技人才的培养和引进、...

关 键 词:技术预见  科技治理  事先预防  政策工具  边际溢出效应
收稿时间:2021/6/8 0:00:00
修稿时间:2021/6/29 0:00:00

Research on the Influence Mechanism of Technology Foresight on the Government's Science and Technology Governance
Li Huiquan,Jian Zhaoquan.Research on the Influence Mechanism of Technology Foresight on the Government's Science and Technology Governance[J].Science and Technology Management Research,2022,42(1):22-28.
Authors:Li Huiquan  Jian Zhaoquan
Institution:(School of Business Administration,South China University of Technology,Guangzhou 510641,China)
Abstract:Technology foresight is a systematic and integrated exploration behavior. It is a research process that combines multiple scenarios and multiple elements. It is also an important way and theoretical means for the government to improve scientific and technological governance. Through technology foresight, the social development vision and technical needs are identified and analyzed. Judgment and play its strategic role as a policy tool. This article starts with the formation mechanism of technological foresight, deeply analyzes the active subject and theoretical basis of technological foresight, and analyzes the formation and functioning mechanism of technological foresight from the perspective of the transformation of technological foresight value concept, from the precautionary mechanism and policy formulation of technological foresight Tools and the marginal spillover effects of technological foresight discuss the impact mechanism of technological foresight on technological governance, demonstrating the value, innovation and guiding role of technological foresight as a policy tool. Finally, it condenses the strategic thinking of improving my country''s technological foresight, and provides guidance and reference for my country to improve its technological foresight ability, build a modern technological innovation governance system, and comprehensively enhance its technological innovation supply capacity.
Keywords:Technological Foresight  Technological Governance  Advance Prevention  Policy Tools  Marginal Spillover Effects
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