| 集装箱吞吐量的动态预测研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 黄维忠.集装箱吞吐量的动态预测研究[J].上海海事大学学报,2001,22(2):45-48. |
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| 作者姓名： | 黄维忠 |
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| 作者单位： | 上海海运学院基础部 |
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| 摘 要： | 针对以往文献中港口集装箱吞吐量的预测结果与实际值差距大的现象，提出用因果模型预测与动态补偿相结合的动态预测方法预测港口集装箱吞吐量，并将此方法用于对上海港集装箱吞吐量的预测，取得了较好的效果，为集装箱吞吐量的预测提供了一条较为可靠且实用的途径。
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| 关 键 词： | 集装箱吞吐量，动态预测，神经网络，有效值，动态补偿量 |
| 修稿时间： | 2001年2月13日 |
Study of Dynamic Forecast about Port Container Handling Capacity |
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| Huang Weizhong.Study of Dynamic Forecast about Port Container Handling Capacity[J].Journal of Shanghai Maritime University,2001,22(2):45-48. |
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| Authors: | Huang Weizhong |
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| Institution: | Huang Weizhong |
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| Abstract: | In view of the great disparity between the forecast of Shanghai port container handling capacity and its real result, we choose a dynamic forecast method by the compensation of causality model with dynamic compensation to predict Shanghai port container handling capacity. And we forecast Shanghai port container handling capacity by using this method. We have made a satisfactory achievement, which provides a more reliable and practical way to forecast container handling capacity. |
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| Keywords: | container handling capacity dynamic forecast neural network effective value dynamic compensation value |
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