| 中国各省市水资源供需平衡预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 邹婷,陈超群,李龙,迟晓妮,刘志兵.中国各省市水资源供需平衡预测[J].黄冈师范学院学报,2013,33(3):22-26. |
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| 作者姓名： | 邹婷 陈超群 李龙 迟晓妮 刘志兵 |
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| 作者单位： | 黄冈师范学院数学与计算机科学学院,湖北黄州,438000 |
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| 基金项目： | This research was supported both by the Excellent Youth Project of Hubei Provincial Department ofEducation（Q20122709）; the Doctorial Foundation of Huanggang Normal University（08CD158） |
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| 摘 要： | 在中国2003年到2011年供需水量的基础上,建立GM（1,1）模型预测2025年中国各省市（除台湾,香港,澳门之外）的供水量和需水量,得出西北和沿海部分区域缺水的结论。为了解决缺水区的用水问题,需将丰水区的水向缺水区转移与调运,通过建立线性规划模型实现总费用最小化。该策略将有利于实现我国水资源的可持续利用。
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| 关 键 词： | 水资源 灰色预测模型 线性规划模型 |
Forecast for provincial and municipal water supply-demand balance in China |
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| ZOU Ting
,
CHEN Chao-qun
,
LI Long
,
CHI Xiao-ni
,
LIU Zhi-bing.Forecast for provincial and municipal water supply-demand balance in China[J].Journal of Huanggang Normal University,2013,33(3):22-26. |
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| Authors: | ZOU Ting CHEN Chao-qun LI Long CHI Xiao-ni LIU Zhi-bing |
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| Institution: | (College of Mathematics and Computer Science,Huanggang Normal University,Huangzhou 438000,Hubei,China) |
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| Abstract: | Based on the water supply-demand data from 2003 to 2011,we establish the GM（1,1） model to predict the water supply and water demand of Chinese provinces and municipalities in 2025 except Taiwan,Hong Kong and Macao.By minimizing the total cost,we adopt a linear programming model to realize the water transfer and water desalination to prevent water shortage in the areas mentioned above in 2025.The strategy will help to sustain water resources in China. |
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| Keywords: | water resource GM (1 1) prediction model linear programming model |
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